Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 3

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday

Location: Thomond Park (Limerick)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Variety 1
Ireland	TG4 app Ireland, TG4 Ireland
United-kingdom	FloSports app, Premier Sports 1, URC


	Munster		Edinburgh

	1	X	2
	1.4	23	3.1
	1.36	22	3.25
	2.06	18.00	1.85	Watch
	1.41	21	3.12
	1.4	23	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.25)	21.4 ↓ (26)	2.88 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 50.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Munster
62.5%

Draw
4.5%

Edinburgh
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.5%

3.5%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Munster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Munster's form might have worsened.

Edinburgh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Edinburgh's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Munster - Edinburgh Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Munster will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:22

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (10 - 12)
2nd Half (10 - 7)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Munster won 4.

Munster may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Munster is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Munster won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 523:323. (average 26.2:16.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Munster won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 273:178. (average 27.3:17.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Munster Rugby
United Rugby Championship
04.10.25	Munster - Cardiff Rugby	23:20 ✺
27.09.25	Llanelli Scarlets - Munster	21:34 ✺
31.05.25	Sharks - Munster	25:24 penalties ✺
16.05.25	Munster - Benetton Treviso	30:21 ✺
09.05.25	Munster - Ulster	38:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWW
- Edinburgh Rugby
United Rugby Championship
27.09.25	Zebre - Edinburgh	31:28 ✺
31.05.25	Blue Bulls - Edinburgh	42:33 ✺
16.05.25	Edinburgh - Ulster	47:17 ✺
10.05.25	Connacht - Edinburgh	21:31 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
03.05.25	Edinburgh - Bath	24:39 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
28.02.25	Munster - Edinburgh	28:34
17.05.24	Edinburgh - Munster	26:29
02.12.22	Edinburgh - Munster	17:38
18.02.22	Munster - Edinburgh	34:20
20.02.21	Edinburgh - Munster	10:22
10.10.20	Munster - Edinburgh	25:23
29.11.19	Munster - Edinburgh	16:18

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