Match Info

Challenge Cup - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Edinburgh Rugby Stadium (Edinburgh)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Edinburgh		Bath

	1	X	2
	3.6	23	1.3
	3.5	26	1.3
	3.4	27	1.35
	3.41	22.41	1.36	Watch
	3.25	21	1.33
	3.51	21	1.34
	3.4	27	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↓ (4.88)	23.92 ↓ (25)	1.33 ↑ (1.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edinburgh
26.9%

Draw
3.9%

Bath
69.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

3.7%

77.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edinburgh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Edinburgh's performance.

Bath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bath might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Edinburgh - Bath Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:34

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schoeman P.	1. Obano B.
2. Ashman E.	2. Dunn T.
3. Rae D.	3. Stuart W.
4. Skinner S.	4. Roux Q.
5. Gilchrist G. (C)	5. Ewels C.
6. Ritchie J.	6. Pepper G.
7. Watson H.	7. Underhill S.
8. Bradbury M.	8. Reid M.
9. Price A.	9. Spencer B. (C)
10. Thompson R.	10. Russell F.
11. Paterson H.	11. Muir W.
12. Lang J.	12. Butt W.
13. Currie M.	13. Redpath C.
14. Graham D.	14. Cokanasiga J.
15. Goosen W.	15. de Glanville T.
Substitutes
16. Harrison P.	16. Annett N.
17. Venter B.	17. du Toit T.
18. Sebastian J.	18. Griffin A.
19. Young G.	19. Molony R.
20. Muncaster B.	20. Hill T.
21. Shiel C.	21. Schreuder L.
22. Healy B.	22. Donoghue C.
23. Tuipulotu M.	23. Barbeary A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (10 - 12)
9', Underhill S. (Try),
10', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
14', Muir W. 🟨,
19', Tuipulotu M. (Try),
20', Thompson R. (Conversion Goal),
31', Dunn T. (Try),
38', Thompson R. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (14 - 27)
43', de Glanville T. 🟨,
46', (Try),
46', (Conversion Goal),
48', Skinner S. 🟨,
54', Dunn T. (Try),
55', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
61', Barbeary A. (Try),
65', Russell F. (Penalty Goal),
65', Price A. (Try),
66', Thompson R. (Conversion Goal),
76', Annett N. (Try),
77', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
78', Pepper G. (Try),

Preview

Edinburgh is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bath is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Edinburgh may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Edinburgh has had a series of home games.

In this match, Bath is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Edinburgh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 41:19.

Including home match between the teams, Edinburgh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 41:19.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edinburgh Rugby
United Rugby Championship
25.04.25	Zebre - Edinburgh	25:25 ✺
18.04.25	Edinburgh - Sharks	17:18 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
12.04.25	Edinburgh - Blue Bulls	34:28 ✺
04.04.25	Edinburgh - Lions	24:12 ✺
United Rugby Championship
28.03.25	Edinburgh - Newport Gwent Dragons	38:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLWWW
- Bath Rugby
English Premiership Rugby
26.04.25	Bath - Newcastle Red Bulls	55:19 ✺
19.04.25	Exeter Chiefs - Bath	24:26 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
13.04.25	Bath - Gloucester	61:26 ✺
04.04.25	Section Paloise - Bath	24:49 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
29.03.25	Bath - Harlequins	47:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Challenge Cup Rugby
16.04.22	Edinburgh - Bath	41:19

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