The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leicester Tigers 69.2%
Draw 3.8%
Exeter Chiefs 27.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
73.7%
4%
22.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leicester Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
Exeter Chiefs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
Leicester Tigers - Exeter Chiefs Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 35:26
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Smith N.
1. Sio S.
2. Blamire J.
2. Norey M.
3. Heyes J.
3. Iosefa-Scott J.
4. Martin G.
4. Jenkins D.
5. Chessum O.
5. Zambonin A.
6. Liebenberg H.
6. Hooper T.
7. Reffell T.
7. Roots E.
8. Moro J.
8. Fisilau G.
9. van Poortvliet J.
9. Varney S.
10. Titcombe C.
10. Skinner H.
11. Hassell-Collins O.
11. Ridl C.
12. Bailey O.
12. Ikitau L.
13. Wand W.
13. Slade H.
14. Radwan A.
14. Feyi-Waboso I.
15. Pearson G.
15. Woodburn O.
Substitutes
16. Clare C.
16. Dweba J.
17. van der Flier A.
17. Burger E.
18. Hurd W.
18. Tchumbadze B.
19. Henderson C.
19. Tuima R.
20. Cracknell O.
20. Tshiunza C.
21. Watson H.
21. Cairns T.
22. Whiteley T.
22. Wimbush Z.
23. Kata S.
23. Brown-Bampoe P.
Coaches
. Parling G.
. Baxter R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (14 - 13)
4', Bailey O. (Penalty Goal),
6', Woodburn O. (Try),
7', Slade H. (Conversion Goal),
12', Ikitau L. ↓, Wimbush Z. ↑,
12', Martin G. ↓, Henderson C. ↑,
12', Slade H. (Penalty Goal),
13', Pearson G. (Try),
14', Bailey O. (Missed Conversion),
25', Henderson C. ↓, Martin G. ↑,
25', Wimbush Z. ↓, Ikitau L. ↑,
28', Bailey O. (Penalty Goal),
33', Slade H. (Penalty Goal),
40+2', Bailey O. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (12 - 22)
42', Ikitau L. (Try),
43', Slade H. (Missed Conversion),
49', Titcombe C. (Missed Drop Goal),
52', Smith N. ↓, van der Flier A. ↑,
52', Heyes J. ↓, Hurd W. ↑,
52', Reffell T. ↓, Cracknell O. ↑,
52', Moro J. ↓, Watson H. ↑,
53', Woodburn O. (Try),
54', Slade H. (Conversion Goal),
56', Titcombe C. ↓, Kata S. ↑,
56', Blamire J. ↓, Clare C. ↑,
58', Woodburn O. 🟨,
60', Cracknell O. (Try),
61', Bailey O. (Conversion Goal),
61', Sio S. ↓, Burger E. ↑,
61', Norey M. ↓, Dweba J. ↑,
61', Iosefa-Scott J. ↓, Tchumbadze B. ↑,
65', van Poortvliet J. ↓, Whiteley T. ↑,
65', Martin G. ↓, Henderson C. ↑,
66', Fisilau G. ↓, Tshiunza C. ↑,
66', Feyi-Waboso I. ↓, Brown-Bampoe P. ↑,
69', Clare C. (Try),
70', Bailey O. (Missed Conversion),
73', Zambonin A. (Try),
73', Slade H. (Conversion Goal),
77', Jenkins D. ↓, Tuima R. ↑,
80', Slade H. (Penalty Goal),
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership Rugby (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leicester Tigers won 4.
In recent matches, Leicester Tigers has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Exeter is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Exeter may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Leicester Tigers is the team to beat.
We predict that Leicester Tigers will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leicester Tigers won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 483:490. (average 24.2:24.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Leicester Tigers won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 332:227. (average 33.2:22.7).
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Smith N. 
Sio S. 
Blamire J. 
Iosefa-Scott J. 
Zambonin A. 
Liebenberg H. 
Hooper T. 
Moro J. 
Hurd W. 
Tchumbadze B. 
Wimbush Z. 
Kata S. 
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