Match Info

Challenge Cup - Round 3

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
United-kingdom	FloSports app, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
World	EPCR Rugby TV


	Newcastle Red Bulls		Perpignan

	1	X	2
	1.29	34	3.6
	1.26	26	3.9
	1.48	22.69	2.76	Watch
	1.29	29	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.24)	27.92 ↑ (25)	3.5 ↓ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 50.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle Red Bulls
70.1%

Draw
3.3%

Perpignan
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.1%

3.7%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Perpignan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Newcastle Red Bulls - Perpignan Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +11.5 - Perpignan (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Perpignan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:20

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McCallum M.	1. Devaux B.
2. McGuigan G. (C)	2. Montgaillard V.
3. Palframan R.	3. Ceccarelli P.
4. Cardall T.	4. Yato P.
5. de Chaves S.	5. Warion A.
6. Usher O.	6. Chinarro B.
7. Christie T.	7. Diaby M.
8. Gordon T.	8. Velarte L. (C)
9. Benitez Cruz S.	9. Ecochard T.
10. Grayson E.	10. Reus H.
11. Spencer O.	11. Granell M.
12. Arnold S.	12. Paiaaua D.
13. Hearle A.	13. Poulet J.
14. Wade C.	14. Petaia J.
15. Obatoyinbo E.	15. Dubois L.
Substitutes
16. Fletcher O.	16. Lotrian M.
17. Brocklebank A.	17. Gallardo L.
18. de Bruin L.	18. Roelofse N.
19. Baker F.	19. Tuilagi P.
20. Neild C.	20. Tanguy M.
21. Elliott J.	21. Dvali A.
22. Hutchison C.	22. Aprasidze G.
23. Greenwood N.	23. Kretchmann G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (14 - 12)
12', Yato P. (Try),
19', Wade C. (Try),
20', Grayson E. (Conversion Goal),
22', Arnold S. (Try),
23', Grayson E. (Conversion Goal),
32', Grayson E. 🟨,
33', Granell M. (Try),
34', Reus H. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (12 - 7)
45', Obatoyinbo E. (Try),
58', Petaia J. 🟨,
59', McGuigan G. (Try),
59', Grayson E. (Conversion Goal),
65', Granell M. (Try),
66', Reus H. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Perpignan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Newcastle is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Newcastle won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 32:23.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle Red Bulls
English Premiership Rugby
02.01.26	Newcastle Red Bulls - Gloucester	25:19 ✺
27.12.25	Bristol Rugby - Newcastle Red Bulls	36:27 ✺
21.12.25	Newcastle Red Bulls - Bath	14:50 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
13.12.25	Newcastle Red Bulls - Lions	14:10 ✺
06.12.25	Lyon - Newcastle Red Bulls	14:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.7 WLLWW
- USA Perpignan
French Top 14
03.01.26	Perpignan - Toulouse	30:27 ✺
28.12.25	Toulon - Perpignan	31:16 ✺
20.12.25	Perpignan - Clermont	26:20 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
13.12.25	Benetton Treviso - Perpignan	44:31 ✺
07.12.25	Perpignan - Newport Gwent Dragons	41:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Challenge Cup Rugby
21.01.24	Perpignan - Newcastle Red Bulls	23:32

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