Match Info

WORLD: United Rugby Championship - Round 11

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Rodney Parade (Newport) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
United Kingdom	14:00	FloSports app, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, URC


	Newport Gwent Dragons		Glasgow Warriors

	1	X	2
	5	34	1.17
	5	30	1.15
	5.48	31.46	1.17	Watch
	5.5	29	1.14
	5.5	26	1.14
	5	30	1.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.25 ↑ (3.91)	30.08 ↑ (23.62)	1.15 ↓ (1.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 50.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-13)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newport Gwent Dragons
17.5%

Draw
3%

Glasgow Warriors
79.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.6%

3.9%

72.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newport Gwent Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newport Gwent Dragons's form might have worsened.

Glasgow Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Glasgow Warriors's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Newport Gwent Dragons - Glasgow Warriors Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Glasgow Warriors will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 19:32

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Reynolds J.	1. Bhatti J.
2. Benjamin J.	2. Stewart G.
3. Coleman C.	3. Richardson F.
4. Davies J.	4. Oguntibeju O.
5. Nott G.	5. Samuel A.
6. Woodman R.	6. Ferrie E.
7. Young G.	7. Venter H.
8. Lewis-Hughes S.	8. Mann J.
9. Blacker D.	9. Horne G.
10. Evans L.	10. Weir D.
11. Rosser J.	11. Cordero F.
12. Owen A.	12. Munn D.
13. Wilson H.	13. Smith O.
14. Dyer R.	14. Cancelliere S.
15. Anderson H.	15. Mckay J.
Substitutes
16. Coghlan B.	16. Matthews J.
17. Jones R.	17. McBeth N.
18. Latu P.	18. Schickerling P.
19. Langton-Cryer B.	19. Miller A.
20. Minto E.	20. Fraser A.
21. Hope C.	21. McKenzie D.
22. Reed W.	22. Afshar B.
23. Williams S.	23. Johnston K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (20 - 24)
2', Evans L. (Penalty Goal),
11', Benjamin J. (Try),
11', Evans L. (Conversion Goal),
23', Matthews J. (Try),
24', Weir D. (Conversion Goal),
26', Evans L. (Penalty Goal),
28', Mann J. (Try),
30', Horne G. (Try),
38', Weir D. (Try),
38', Weir D. (Conversion Goal),
40+1', Lewis-Hughes S. (Try),
40+2', Evans L. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (0 - 21)
42', Oguntibeju O. (Try),
43', Weir D. (Conversion Goal),
46', Horne G. (Try),
48', Weir D. (Conversion Goal),
71', Cancelliere S. (Try),
73', Weir D. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dragons won 0.

Dragons has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Glasgow Warriors is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Glasgow Warriors is certain favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Dragons won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 354:600 (average 17.7:30).

Including matches at home between the teams Dragons won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 175:266 (average 17.5:26.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newport Gwent Dragons
United Rugby Championship
25.01.25	Newport Gwent Dragons - Munster	19:38 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
18.01.25	Lions - Newport Gwent Dragons	60:10 ✺
12.01.25	Newport Gwent Dragons - Section Paloise	15:24 ✺
United Rugby Championship
01.01.25	Llanelli Scarlets - Newport Gwent Dragons	32:15 ✺
26.12.24	Newport Gwent Dragons - Cardiff Rugby	22:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Glasgow Warriors
United Rugby Championship
26.01.25	Glasgow Warriors - Connacht	22:19 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
18.01.25	Harlequins - Glasgow Warriors	24:7 ✺
10.01.25	Glasgow Warriors - Racing Métro	29:19 ✺
United Rugby Championship
28.12.24	Edinburgh - Glasgow Warriors	10:7 ✺
22.12.24	Glasgow Warriors - Edinburgh	33:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
17.02.24	Glasgow Warriors - Newport Gwent Dragons	40:7
Challenge Cup Rugby
01.04.23	Glasgow Warriors - Newport Gwent Dragons	73:33
United Rugby Championship
28.01.23	Newport Gwent Dragons - Glasgow Warriors	28:42
04.12.21	Glasgow Warriors - Newport Gwent Dragons	33:14
Pro14 Rainbow Cup
29.05.21	Newport Gwent Dragons - Glasgow Warriors	16:27
United Rugby Championship
21.03.21	Newport Gwent Dragons - Glasgow Warriors	26:17
05.12.20	Glasgow Warriors - Newport Gwent Dragons	22:23

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