The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Newport Gwent Dragons 19.5%
Draw 4%
Munster 76.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.2%
3.9%
67.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.6%
3.8%
69.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport Gwent Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newport Gwent Dragons's form might have worsened.
Munster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Munster's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport Gwent Dragons than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newport Gwent Dragons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Munster than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Munster, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Newport Gwent Dragons - Munster Predictions
Users Predictions:
Munster will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 18:29
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Manzano R. M.
1. Bleuler D.
2. Coghlan B.
2. Barron D.
3. Coleman C.
3. Jager O.
4. Davies J.
4. Wycherley F.
5. Woodman R.
5. Ahern T.
6. Lewis-Hughes S.
6. O'Donoghue J.
7. Lydiate D.
7. Kendellen A.
8. Basham T.
8. Coombes G.
9. Lloyd M.
9. Coughlan E.
10. Evans L.
10. Burns B.
11. Rosser J.
11. Kilgallen D.
12. Ackerman H.
12. Scannell R.
13. Owen A.
13. Farrell T.
14. Dyer R.
14. Daly S.
15. Anderson H.
15. O'Connor B.
Substitutes
16. Benjamin J.
16. Sheahan D.
17. Kelleher-Griffiths D.
17. Ryan K.
18. Latu P.
18. Ryan J.
19. Langton-Cryer B.
19. O'Connell E.
20. Young G.
20. Gleeson B.
21. Blacker D.
21. Patterson P.
22. Reed W.
22. Butler T.
23. Wilson H.
23. Hodnett J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 31)
3', Kilgallen D. (Try),
17', Kendellen A. (Try),
18', Burns B. (Conversion Goal),
19', O'Connor B. (Try),
20', Burns B. (Conversion Goal),
20', (Penalty Try),
21', Evans L. 🟨,
33', Bleuler D. (Try),
2nd Half (19 - 7)
42', Coleman C. (Try),
54', Hodnett J. (Try),
55', Butler T. (Conversion Goal),
68', Wilson H. (Try),
68', Evans L. (Conversion Goal),
74', Blacker D. (Try),
75', Reed W. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Dragons won 1.
Dragons is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Munster is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Munster is indisputable favorite.
Last 16 head-to-head matches Dragons won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 230:500 (average 14.4:31.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Dragons won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 140:159 (average 17.5:19.9).
Argentina
Brazil
Chile
Colombia
Denmark
Finland
Iceland
Ireland
Mexico
Netherlands
Norway
Peru
Poland
Sweden
United-kingdom
Uruguay
Venezuela
World
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Manzano R. M. 
Bleuler D. 
Coghlan B. 
Barron D. 
Evans L. 
Latu P. 
Wilson H. 
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