Match Info
EUROPE: Challenge Cup - Round 3Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday ๐ Finished Location: Rodney Parade (Newport) ๐ค๏ธ ...
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Newport Gwent Dragons |
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Section Paloise |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.62 |
21 |
2.38 |
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1.62 |
21 |
2.25 |
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1.63 |
21 |
2.38 |
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 |
1.64 |
21.97 |
2.42 |
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1.57 |
21 |
2.5 |
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1.64 |
18 |
2.48 |
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1.63 |
21 |
2.38 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.62 ↑ (1.56) |
20.71 ↑ (20.38) |
2.4 ↓ (2.56) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 46.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Newport Gwent Dragons 57% | Draw 4.5% | Section Paloise 38.5% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Newport Gwent Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Section Paloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport Gwent Dragons than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Section Paloise than the current prediction. (-4.2%)Newport Gwent Dragons - Section Paloise Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Dragons will win (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:21 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1. Manzano R. M.
| 1. Seneca R.
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2. Dee E.
| 2. Ruffenach R.
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3. Coleman C.
| 3. Zabala J.
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4. Davies J.
| 4. Picquette R.
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5. Langton-Cryer B.
| 5. Maximin J.
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6. Young G.
| 6. Tlili M.
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7. Basham T.
| 7. Auradou H.
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8. Wainwright A.
| 8. Hamonou T.
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9. Hope C.
| 9. Robson D.
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10. O'Brien A. (C)
| 10. Desperes A.
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11. Rosser J.
| 11. Arfeuil G.
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12. Ackerman H.
| 12. Brau-Boirie F.
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13. Westwood J.
| 13. Roudil E. (C)
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14. Dyer R.
| 14. Attissogbe T.
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15. Evans C.
| 15. Mondinat C.
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| Substitutes |
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16. Benjamin J.
| 16. Jooste D.
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17. Kelleher-Griffiths D.
| 17. Biziwu D.
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18. Arhip D.
| 18. Williams H.
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19. Nott G.
| 19. Templier V.
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20. Lydiate D.
| 20. Credoz L.
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21. Lloyd M.
| 21. Souverbie T.
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22. Evans L.
| 22. Valentino Q.
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23. Rosser E.
| 23. Maddocks J.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (8 - 9)
- 3', Hamonou T. 🟨,
- 12', Desperes A. (Penalty Goal),
- 14', Evans L. (Penalty Goal),
- 24', Desperes A. (Penalty Goal),
- 30', Desperes A. (Penalty Goal),
- 38', Wainwright A. (Try),
- 2nd Half (7 - 15)
- 48', Desperes A. (Penalty Goal),
- 53', Mondinat C. (Try),
- 54', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
- 63', Jooste D. (Try),
- 78', Evans L. (Penalty Try),
Preview
Dragons is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Recent matches Section Paloise is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2). Dragons will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Dragons won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 119:83 (average 23.8:16.6). Including matches at home between the teams Dragons won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 43:27 (average 21.5:13.5).
Latest Head to Head
| Challenge Cup Rugby | | | 16.12.23 | Section Paloise - Newport Gwent Dragons | 24:21 | | 13.01.23 | Section Paloise - Newport Gwent Dragons | 15:21 | | 17.12.22 | Newport Gwent Dragons - Section Paloise | 21:27 | | 19.12.15 | Section Paloise - Newport Gwent Dragons | 17:34 | | 12.12.15 | Newport Gwent Dragons - Section Paloise | 22:0 |
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