Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 1

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday

Location: Cape Town Stadium (Cape Town)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Rugby
Ireland	TG4 app Ireland, TG4 Ireland
Nigeria	SuperSport Rugby
South-africa	SuperSport Rugby
United-kingdom	FloSports app, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, URC


	Stormers		Leinster

	1	X	2
	3.75	26	1.29
	4.3	23	1.23
	3.33	24.27	1.35	Watch
	3.77	23	1.3	Watch
	4	26	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↑ (3.6)	24.45 ↑ (22)	1.28 ↓ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 52.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Stormers
24.2%

Draw
3.8%

Leinster
72.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.6%

4.2%

70.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stormers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Leinster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Stormers - Leinster Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 21:31

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (6 - 0)
2nd Half (29 - 0)

Preview

In this match, Leinster is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Stormers won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 96:83. (average 24:20.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Stormers won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 62:25. (average 31:12.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stormers Rugby
United Rugby Championship
30.05.25	Glasgow Warriors - Stormers	36:18 ✺
16.05.25	Stormers - Cardiff Rugby	34:24 ✺
10.05.25	Stormers - Newport Gwent Dragons	48:12 ✺
26.04.25	Stormers - Benetton Treviso	56:5 ✺
19.04.25	Stormers - Connacht	34:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWWWW
- Leinster Rugby
United Rugby Championship
14.06.25	Leinster - Blue Bulls	32:7 ✺
07.06.25	Leinster - Glasgow Warriors	37:19 ✺
31.05.25	Leinster - Llanelli Scarlets	33:21 ✺
17.05.25	Leinster - Glasgow Warriors	13:5 ✺
10.05.25	Leinster - Zebre	76:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
25.01.25	Leinster - Stormers	36:12
27.04.24	Stormers - Leinster	42:12
24.03.23	Leinster - Stormers	22:22
30.04.22	Stormers - Leinster	20:13

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stormers Rugby
United Rugby Championship
24.10.26	Stormers - Llanelli Scarlets	✺
- Leinster Rugby
United Rugby Championship
24.10.26	Leinster - Munster	✺

Stormers - Leinster: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide