Match Info

EUROPE: Challenge Cup - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday


	Ospreys		Sale Sharks

	1	X	2
	1.73	19	2.2
	1.67	21	2.2
	1.69	15	2.36
	1.67	21	2.25
	1.69	17	2.37
	1.66	20	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (2)	18.83 ↓ (21)	2.28 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 41.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ospreys
54.7%

Draw
4.9%

Sale Sharks
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

4.4%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ospreys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ospreys's performance.

Sale Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sale Sharks might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Ospreys - Sale Sharks Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Ospreys will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Sale Sharks will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:20

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Thomas G.	1. Harrison R.
2. Lloyd L.	2. Creevy A.
3. Botha T.	3. Opoku-Fordjour A.
4. Ratti J.	4. Bamber B.
5. Beard A.	5. Andrews H.
6. Deaves-Small H.	6. Curry B.
7. Tipuric J. (C)	7. Dugdale S.
8. Morris M.	8. du Preez J.
9. Morgan-Williams R.	9. Quirke R.
10. Williams O.	10. du Preez R.
11. Giles K.	11. Reed A.
12. Watkin O.	12. Maasi-White R.
13. Williams K.	13. James S.
14. Morgan L.	14. O'Flaherty T.
15. Walsh J.	15. Veainu T.
Substitutes
16. Moore C.	16. Taylor T.
17. Smith N.	17. McIntyre S.
18. Henry R.	18. Harper J.
19. Sutton H.	19. Ellis T.
20. Morse M.	20. Neild C.
21. Davies L.	21. Thomas N.
22. Edwards D.	22. Doherty C.
23. Nagy M.	23. Wills A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (8 - 3)
3', du Preez R. (Penalty Goal),
25', Williams O. (Penalty Goal),
32', Morris M. (Try),
2nd Half (15 - 12)
46', Giles K. (Try),
48', Morgan-Williams R. (Try),
49', Williams O. (Conversion Goal),
61', Reed A. (Try),
69', Curry B. (Try),
69', du Preez R. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Ospreys could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Ospreys to win the game is with odds 1.74.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ospreys won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 60-106.

Including matches at home between the teams Ospreys won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 50-57.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ospreys Premiership Select
United Rugby Championship
30.03.24	Ospreys - Lions	36:21 ✺
22.03.24	Ospreys - Munster	17:27 ✺
01.03.24	Edinburgh - Ospreys	19:15 ✺
18.02.24	Ospreys - Ulster	19:17 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
21.01.24	Lions - Ospreys	28:38 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.1 WLLWW
- Sale Sharks
English Premiership Rugby
31.03.24	Sale Sharks - Exeter Chiefs	41:5 ✺
24.03.24	Bath - Sale Sharks	42:24 ✺
28.01.24	Gloucester - Sale Sharks	32:20 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
21.01.24	Sale Sharks - La Rochelle	24:37 ✺
13.01.24	Stormers - Sale Sharks	31:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

European Rugby Champions Cup
23.01.22	Sale Sharks - Ospreys	49:10
12.12.21	Ospreys - Sale Sharks	13:21
LV= Cup
31.01.14	Ospreys - Sale Sharks	37:36

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