Match Info

WORLD: United Rugby Championship - Round 6

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Dexcom Stadium (Galway)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Supersport Action
Ireland	TG4 app, TG4 Ireland
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, S4C Clic, S4C Digital, URC


	Connacht		Newport Gwent Dragons

	1	X	2
	1.05	41	9
	1.06	23	9
	1.09	30	7.7
	1.08	34.81	8.53	Watch
	1.06	41	8
	1.07	36	10.5
	1.09	30	7.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.07 ↓ (1.07)	33.69 ↓ (36.59)	8.63 ↑ (8.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 51.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-18)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Connacht
86.5%

Draw
2.8%

Newport Gwent Dragons
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

86.4%

2.5%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Connacht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Newport Gwent Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Connacht - Newport Gwent Dragons Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Connacht will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 35:17

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dooley P.	1. Jones C.
2. Tierney-Martin D.	2. Burrows O.
3. Bealham F.	3. Coleman C.
4. Joyce J.	4. Carter B.
5. Murray N.	5. Screech M.
6. Cian P.	6. Lewis-Hughes S.
7. O'Brien S.	7. Keddie H.
8. Boyle P.	8. Wainwright A.
9. Blade C.	9. Blacker D.
10. Carty J.	10. O'Brien A.
11. Cordero S.	11. Rosser E.
12. Aki B.	12. Owen A.
13. Forde C.	13. Westwood J.
14. Bolton S.	14. Dyer R.
15. O'Conor P.	15. Evans C.
Substitutes
16. De Buitlear E.	16. Coghlan B.
17. Buckley D.	17. Seiuli A.
18. Aungier J.	18. Yendle L.
19. Murray D.	19. Cummins S.
20. Jansen S.	20. Basham T.
21. Devine M.	21. Williams R.
22. Ioane J.	22. Evans L.
23. Gavin H.	23. Wilson H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (19 - 0)
5', Boyle P. (Try),
7', Forde C. (Conversion Goal),
19', Blade C. (Try),
20', Forde C. (Conversion Goal),
38', Cian P. (Try),
2nd Half (12 - 7)
73', Forde C. (Try),
74', Forde C. (Conversion Goal),
77', Basham T. (Try),
78', O'Brien A. (Conversion Goal),
80', Devine M. (Try),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Connacht won 4.

Recent matches Connacht is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dragons is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Dragons have a series of home games.

In this match Connacht is indisputable favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Connacht won 13 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 389:296 (average 22.9:17.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Connacht won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 158:105 (average 22.6:15).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Connacht Rugby
United Rugby Championship
19.10.24	Connacht - Leinster	12:33 ✺
12.10.24	Ulster - Connacht	32:24 ✺
04.10.24	Llanelli Scarlets - Connacht	23:24 ✺
28.09.24	Connacht - Sharks	36:30 ✺
21.09.24	Munster - Connacht	35:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWWL
- Newport Gwent Dragons
United Rugby Championship
19.10.24	Newport Gwent Dragons - Benetton Treviso	21:31 ✺
13.10.24	Newport Gwent Dragons - Lions	19:23 ✺
05.10.24	Newport Gwent Dragons - Sharks	30:33 ✺
27.09.24	Leinster - Newport Gwent Dragons	34:6 ✺
21.09.24	Newport Gwent Dragons - Ospreys	23:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
27.04.24	Newport Gwent Dragons - Connacht	27:34
04.03.23	Newport Gwent Dragons - Connacht	20:22
09.10.21	Connacht - Newport Gwent Dragons	22:35
05.02.21	Newport Gwent Dragons - Connacht	20:30
11.10.19	Newport Gwent Dragons - Connacht	14:38
03.11.18	Connacht - Newport Gwent Dragons	33:5
15.09.17	Newport Gwent Dragons - Connacht	21:8

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