Match Info

Heartland Championships - Round 7

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday


	Poverty Bay		Mid Canterbury

	1	X	2
	5.85	25	1.13
	5.26	25	1.17
	6.3	25	1.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.8 ↓ (5.95)	25 (25)	1.14 ↑ (1.13)

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-14)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poverty Bay
15.8%

Draw
3.7%

Mid Canterbury
80.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.4%

3.7%

81%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poverty Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Mid Canterbury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

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Preview

Recent performances by Poverty Bay have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mid Cant is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Mid Cant is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Poverty Bay won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 136:201. (average 27.2:40.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Poverty Bay won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 85:64. (average 42.5:32).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poverty Bay Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
19.09.25	Poverty Bay - South Canterbury	41:35 ✺
12.09.25	North Otago - Poverty Bay	59:33 ✺
05.09.25	Poverty Bay - Buller	38:3 ✺
29.08.25	Horowhenua-Kapiti - Poverty Bay	19:26 ✺
22.08.25	King Country - Poverty Bay	47:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 40 WLWWL
- Mid Canterbury Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
19.09.25	Mid Canterbury - King Country	32:17 ✺
12.09.25	South Canterbury - Mid Canterbury	0:13 ✺
05.09.25	Mid Canterbury - East Coast	82:7 ✺
29.08.25	Wairarapa Bush - Mid Canterbury	33:36 ✺
22.08.25	Mid Canterbury - Horowhenua-Kapiti	40:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Heartland Championships
04.10.24	Mid Canterbury - Poverty Bay	47:24
13.11.21	Poverty Bay - Mid Canterbury	33:26
20.09.19	Poverty Bay - Mid Canterbury	52:38
20.10.17	Mid Canterbury - Poverty Bay	56:22
25.08.17	Mid Canterbury - Poverty Bay	34:5

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mid Canterbury Rugby Football Union
Heartland Championships
09.10.26	Mid Canterbury - Thames Valley	✺

Poverty Bay - Mid Canterbury: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide