Match Info
Pacific Nations Cup - 5th-6th places - FinalDate: 14 September 2025, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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Australia | Stan Sport |
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Samoa |
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USA |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.5 |
21 |
2.5 |
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 |
1.48 |
24.66 |
2.75 |
Watch |
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1.4 |
23 |
3 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.46 ↓ (1.5) |
22.89 ↑ (21) |
2.75 ↑ (2.63) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 50.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
- The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Samoa 62.7% | Draw 4% | USA 33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Samoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)USA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Samoa - USA Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Samoa will win (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:22 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (6 - 8)
- 4', Esekia Iona R. (Penalty Goal),
- 22', Fricker T. (Try),
- 33', Esekia Iona R. (Penalty Goal),
- 36', Carty L. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (7 - 21)
- 61', Nanai M. (Try),
- 62', Lealiifano C. (Conversion Goal),
- 66', Carty L. (Try),
- 68', Wilson M. (Conversion Goal),
- 76', Damm J. (Try),
- 79', Wilson M. (Conversion Goal),
- 80', Geiger K. (Try),
- 80+1', Wilson M. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Samoa won 3. Samoa could have a small edge in this match.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Samoa won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 115:95. (average 19.2:15.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;