Match Info

EUROPE: European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 2

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Jean Bouin (Paris) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	10:00	Disney+
Brazil	10:00	Disney+
Chile	10:00	Disney+
Colombia	08:00	Disney+
Denmark	14:00	Viaplay
Finland	15:00	Viaplay
France	14:00	beIN Sports 3
Iceland	13:00	Viaplay
Mexico	07:00	Disney+
Netherlands	14:00	Viaplay
Norway	14:00	Viaplay
Peru	08:00	Disney+
Poland	14:00	Polsat Sport Fight
Portugal	13:00	Sport TV7
Sweden	14:00	Viaplay
United Kingdom	13:00	Premier Sports 2
Uruguay	10:00	Disney+
Venezuela	09:00	Disney+


	Stade Français		Saracens

	1	X	2
	2.88	21	1.44
	3	21	1.4
	3	23	1.42
	3.09	24.13	1.42	Watch
	3.1	21	1.4
	2.9	23	1.45
	3	23	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↓ (3.39)	22.3 ↑ (20.77)	1.42 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 49.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stade Français
30.8%

Draw
4.1%

Saracens
65%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.3%

4.4%

68.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

71%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stade Français has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Saracens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stade Français than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stade Français that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saracens than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Saracens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Stade Français - Saracens Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Saracens will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:28

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Castets C.	1. Carre R.
2. Nicotera G.	2. George J.
3. Alo-Emile P.	3. Riccioni M.
4. Gabrillagues P.	4. Itoje M.
5. Halaifonua T.	5. Isiekwe N.
6. Macalou S.	6. McFarland T.
7. Chapuis R.	7. Earl B.
8. Scelzo J. M.	8. Willis T.
9. Weber B.	9. van Zyl I.
10. Henry Z.	10. Burke F.
11. Laloi C.	11. Segun R.
12. Ward J. C.	12. Tompkins N.
13. Marchant J.	13. Cinti L.
14. Dakuwaqa P.	14. Williams L.
15. Barre L.	15. Daly E.
Substitutes
16. Peyresblanques L.	16. Dan T.
17. Alo-Emile M.	17. Brantingham P.
18. Ndiaye H.	18. Clarey A.
19. Turagacoke S.	19. Wilson H.
20. Timo A.	20. Gonzalez J.
21. Tanga Mangene Y.	21. Simpson G.
22. Ezeala S.	22. Eden T.
23. Foursans-Bourdette L.	23. Hartley O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (10 - 13)
4', Dakuwaqa P. (Try),
5', Henry Z. (Conversion Goal),
13', Henry Z. (Penalty Goal),
22', Macalou S. 🟥,
24', Williams L. (Try),
25', Burke F. (Conversion Goal),
33', Burke F. (Penalty Goal),
38', Burke F. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (7 - 15)
44', Halaifonua T. 🟨,
46', George J. (Try),
52', Carre R. 🟨,
64', Burke F. (Penalty Goal),
69', Barre L. (Try),
70', Barre L. (Conversion Goal),
73', Ndiaye H. 🟨,
74', Dan T. (Try),
75', Burke F. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Saracens could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Saracens is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Français
European Rugby Champions Cup
07.12.24	Munster - Stade Français	33:7 ✺
French Top 14
01.12.24	Aviron Bayonnais - Stade Français	21:13 ✺
24.11.24	Stade Français - Racing Métro	40:24 ✺
02.11.24	La Rochelle - Stade Français	35:18 ✺
26.10.24	Stade Français - Clermont	36:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWLW
- Saracens FC
European Rugby Champions Cup
07.12.24	Saracens - Blue Bulls	27:5 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
29.11.24	Newcastle Red Bulls - Saracens	17:12 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
23.11.24	Saracens - Harlequins	28:26 ✺
09.11.24	Saracens - London Scottish	99:27 ✺
02.11.24	Ealing Trailfinders - Saracens	29:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWWL

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