Match Info
Top 14 - Round 19Date: 21 March 2026, SaturdayLocation: Stade Mayol (Toulon)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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France | CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1 |
United-kingdom | Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby |
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Toulon |
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Stade Français |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.25 |
26 |
4 |
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 |
1.26 |
26 |
3.9 |
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 |
1.28 |
25.66 |
4.08 |
Watch |
 |
1.25 |
26 |
4 |
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 |
1.3 |
34 |
3.54 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.27 ↑ (1.23) |
27.53 ↑ (25.81) |
3.9 ↓ (4.76) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 57.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)
- The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Toulon 72.9% | Draw 3.4% | Stade Français 23.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toulon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Stade Français has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Toulon - Stade Français Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:24 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1. Priso D.
| 1. Alo-Emile M.
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2. Baubigny T.
| 2. Peyresblanques L.
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3. Gigashvili B.
| 3. Alo-Emile P.
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4. Ollivon C.
| 4. Gabrillagues P. (C)
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5. Ribbans D. (C)
| 5. Pesenti B.
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6. Ludlam L.
| 6. Macalou S.
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7. Abadie E.
| 7. Hirigoyen M.
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8. Mercer Z.
| 8. Scelzo J. M.
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9. Serin B.
| 9. Motassi T.
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10. Albornoz T.
| 10. Carbonel L.
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11. Villiere G.
| 11. Etien L.
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12. Sinzelle J.
| 12. Nene N.
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13. Smaili M.
| 13. Marchant J.
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14. Drean G.
| 14. Dakuwaqa P.
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15. Domon M.
| 15. Barre L.
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| Substitutes |
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16. Lucchesi G.
| 16. Garcia A.
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17. Ametlla L.
| 17. Iscaro J.
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18. Alainuuese K.
| 18. Azagoh P.
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19. Shioshvili M.
| 19. Halaifonua T.
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20. Jaminet M.
| 20. Briatte R.
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21. Ferte M.
| 21. Abadie P.
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22. Tuicuvu S.
| 22. Vili T.
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23. Brennan D.
| 23. Melikidze G.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (20 - 21)
- 5', Barre L. (Try),
- 6', Carbonel L. (Conversion Goal),
- 11', Lucchesi G. (Try),
- 12', Domon M. (Conversion Goal),
- 24', Domon M. (Penalty Goal),
- 27', Lucchesi G. (Try),
- 27', Domon M. (Conversion Goal),
- 31', Motassi T. (Try),
- 31', Carbonel L. (Conversion Goal),
- 34', Domon M. (Penalty Goal),
- 38', Scelzo J. M. (Try),
- 39', Carbonel L. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (7 - 25)
- 52', Hirigoyen M. (Try),
- 52', Carbonel L. (Conversion Goal),
- 56', Carbonel L. (Penalty Goal),
- 59', Marchant J. (Try),
- 59', Carbonel L. (Conversion Goal),
- 68', Carbonel L. (Penalty Goal),
- 77', Abadie E. (Try),
- 77', Jaminet M. (Conversion Goal),
- 79', Barre L. (Try),
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulon won 3. In this match, Toulon is the team to beat.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toulon won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 487:367. (average 24.4:18.4).Including home matches between the teams, Toulon won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 295:119. (average 29.5:11.9).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
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| 10 | Stade Francais Paris | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 117:136 | 10 |
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| 13 | RC Toulonnais | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 101:115 | 8 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| French Top 14 | | | 23.11.25 | Stade Français - Toulon | 51:24 | | 22.02.25 | Toulon - Stade Français | 24:6 | | 22.09.24 | Stade Français - Toulon | 10:14 | | 08.06.24 | Stade Français - Toulon | 23:20 | | 30.12.23 | Toulon - Stade Français | 19:5 | | 04.03.23 | Toulon - Stade Français | 30:9 | | 26.11.22 | Stade Français - Toulon | 12:17 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;