Match Info

League One - Round 8

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Urayasu D-Rocks		Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath

	1	X	2
	2.6	23	1.51
	2.62	22.61	1.54
	2.63	21	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (3.09)	22.2 ↑ (21.89)	1.52 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Urayasu D-Rocks
35.2%

Draw
4.1%

Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

4.2%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

4.3%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urayasu D-Rocks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Urayasu D-Rocks's performance.

Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urayasu D-Rocks than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 26)
2nd Half (14 - 15)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Urayasu D-Rocks won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Suntory Sungoliath may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Suntory Sungoliath will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Urayasu D-Rocks won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 134:281. (average 22.3:46.8).

Including home match between the teams, Urayasu D-Rocks won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:20.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Urayasu D-Rocks
Japan League One Rugby Union
07.02.26	Kubota Spears - Urayasu D-Rocks	48:14 ✺
23.01.26	Honda Heat - Urayasu D-Rocks	32:23 ✺
17.01.26	Urayasu D-Rocks - Toshiba Brave Lupus	27:38 ✺
09.01.26	Urayasu D-Rocks - Canon Eagles	28:22 ✺
28.12.25	Shizuoka Blue Revs - Urayasu D-Rocks	21:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LLLWW
- Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath
Japan League One Rugby Union
24.01.26	Panasonic Wild Knights - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	31:30 ✺
17.01.26	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Honda Heat	30:15 ✺
10.01.26	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers	20:22 ✺
27.12.25	Kubota Spears - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	79:20 ✺
20.12.25	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Toyota Verblitz	43:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan League One Rugby Union
22.02.25	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Urayasu D-Rocks	40:35
20.03.22	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Urayasu D-Rocks	69:29
11.04.21	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Urayasu D-Rocks	94:31
18.01.20	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Urayasu D-Rocks	22:10
07.09.18	Urayasu D-Rocks - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	18:20
09.09.17	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Urayasu D-Rocks	36:11

Urayasu D-Rocks - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide