Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Central Division - Round 40

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday


	Berkhamsted		Barwell

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.8	1.75
	3.6	3.75	1.8
	3.36	4.27	1.84
	3.36	4.28	1.85
	3.91	3.68	1.81
	3.6	3.75	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↓ (4.64)	3.92 ↑ (3.86)	1.81 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Berkhamsted
25.8%

Draw
23.4%

Barwell
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.9%

24%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

22.4%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Berkhamsted has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Berkhamsted's performance.

Barwell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barwell might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Berkhamsted than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barwell than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Davidson-Miller J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 1 - 1, Massingham L. ⚽,
73', 2 - 1, Newman T. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Berkhamsted is Relegated to

Berkhamsted is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Barwell is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barwell will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Berkhamsted won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Berkhamsted FC
English Southern League Central Division
06.04.24	Kettering Town - Berkhamsted	1:1 ✺
01.04.24	Berkhamsted - Hitchin Town	1:2 ✺
30.03.24	Leiston - Berkhamsted	3:1 ✺
23.03.24	St Ives Town - Berkhamsted	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Berkhamsted - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TLLLW
- Barwell
English Southern League Central Division
06.04.24	Barwell - St Ives Town	3:4 ✺
01.04.24	Barwell - Long Eaton United	3:0 ✺
30.03.24	Kettering Town - Barwell	2:1 ✺
23.03.24	Barwell - Royston Town	2:1 ✺
16.03.24	Needham Market - Barwell	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
04.11.23	Barwell - Berkhamsted	1:1

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