Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 21

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday


	Águilas		Don Benito

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.1	5.75
	1.62	3.15	6
	1.64	3.12	7.83
	1.59	3.12	7.21
	1.58	3.4	6.42
	1.62	3.15	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.62)	3.17 ↓ (3.31)	6.54 ↑ (5.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Águilas
57%

Draw
28.9%

Don Benito
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

27.7%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

26.6%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Don Benito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Don Benito than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Águilas - Don Benito Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
35', 1 - 0, Martinez H. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Fernandez I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 2 - 1, Hyeon-jun P. ⚽,
80', Lillo 🟥,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Águilas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Don Benito has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Águilas is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Águilas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Águilas FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
26.01.25	Minera - Águilas	0:0 ✺
19.01.25	Águilas - San Fernando	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Almeria B - Águilas	1:3 ✺
21.12.24	Antoniano - Águilas	0:0 ✺
15.12.24	Águilas - La Unión	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TTWTT
- CD Don Benito
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
26.01.25	Don Benito - Orihuela	0:0 ✺
19.01.25	Cadiz CF B - Don Benito	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	Don Benito - Juventud de Torremolinos	0:2 ✺
22.12.24	Don Benito - Estepona	1:2 ✺
15.12.24	UCAM Murcia - Don Benito	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
22.09.24	Don Benito - Águilas	2:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
22.05.22	Don Benito - Águilas	1:0 penalties

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