Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 16

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio de La Condomina (Murcia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	WebDirecto


	UCAM Murcia		Don Benito

	1	X	2
	1.39	3.9	7.25
	1.4	3.95	7.6
	1.42	3.95	7.77
	1.4	3.93	8.46	Watch
	1.4	4.1	8
	1.4	3.95	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.44)	3.96 ↑ (3.82)	7.78 ↑ (7.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCAM Murcia
65.2%

Draw
23.1%

Don Benito
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

24%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

22.4%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Don Benito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Don Benito than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

UCAM Murcia - Don Benito Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Marin A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', 2 - 0, Urcelay ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 16 in the zone Relegation).

UCAM Murcia is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Don Benito is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match UCAM Murcia is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches UCAM Murcia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams UCAM Murcia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.12.24	Minera - UCAM Murcia	0:0 ✺
01.12.24	UCAM Murcia - San Fernando	1:0 ✺
24.11.24	Almeria B - UCAM Murcia	0:1 ✺
17.11.24	UCAM Murcia - Antoniano	2:1 ✺
10.11.24	La Unión - UCAM Murcia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWWWL
- CD Don Benito
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.12.24	Don Benito - Xerez Deportivo	0:0 ✺
01.12.24	Don Benito - Xerez CD	0:1 ✺
24.11.24	Minera - Don Benito	1:0 ✺
17.11.24	Don Benito - San Fernando	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Almeria B - Don Benito	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
05.01.20	Don Benito - UCAM Murcia	1:3
27.01.19	Don Benito - UCAM Murcia	1:1
09.09.18	UCAM Murcia - Don Benito	2:1

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