Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 10

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Águilas		Melilla

	1	X	2
	1.85	2.98	4.25
	1.92	2.99	4.59
	1.93	3.15	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.67)	3.04 ↓ (3.22)	4.38 ↓ (5.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Águilas
48.6%

Draw
30.4%

Melilla
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

28.3%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

27.9%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Águilas's form might have worsened.

Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Águilas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Águilas - Melilla Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Enriquez M. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 2 - 0, Vega S. ⚽,
65', 2 - 1, Chavarria M. ⚽,
90', 3 - 1, Martinez C. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )).

Águilas is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Melilla has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Águilas has had a series of away games.

In this match, Águilas is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Águilas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Águilas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Águilas FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
02.11.25	Puente Genil - Águilas	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Atlético Malagueño - Águilas	1:3 ✺
19.10.25	Xerez Deportivo - Águilas	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Águilas - Antoniano	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Almeria B - Águilas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWTWW
- UD Melilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
02.11.25	Melilla - CD Extremadura	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Antoniano - Melilla	3:2 ✺
19.10.25	Melilla - Atlético Malagueño	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Real Jaén - Melilla	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Melilla - Xerez CD	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.05.22	Águilas - Melilla	0:1
19.12.21	Melilla - Águilas	1:1

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