Match Info

Kansallinen Liiga Women - Championship Group

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Wiklöf Holding Arena (Mariehamn) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	17:00	Ruutu+


	Åland United		KuPS

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.60	2.37
	2.33	3.40	2.48
	2.25	3.83	2.47
	2.34	3.81	2.48	Watch
	2.20	3.75	2.40
	2.51	3.69	2.43
	2.05	3.5	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2)	3.65 ↑ (3.55)	2.49 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Åland United
39.3%

Draw
24.6%

KuPS
36.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.6%

25.1%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

24.6%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Åland United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Åland United's form might have worsened.

KuPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting KuPS's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Åland United than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Åland United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KuPS than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for KuPS, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Åland United - KuPS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Sundelius C. (G) 11. Antikainen N. 3. Degerstedt E. 8. Hagstrom M. (C) 44. Hillberg S. 21. Hordijk C. 6. Jaatinen S. 19. Pitko N. 16. Takanen M. 15. Veber V. 10. Vetter J.	22. Arpiainen E. (G) 14. Hahl N. 23. Juusela N. 4. Laaksonen S. 2. Leiwo S. 24. Makipelkola E. 6. Paavilainen L. 27. Perkaus H. 7. Rochi G. (C) 18. Ukkonen P. 16. Viinikka T.
Substitutes
18. Hansell E. 1. Niiranen L. (G) 22. Nordberg O. 5. Nurmi A. 17. Nyvall C. 2. Ratts A. 9. Sarjanoja I. 14. Torronen A.	3. Beal R. M. 20. Harmaala A. 50. Konkka V. 5. Kouva S. 8. Oruetxebarria N. 11. Pulkkanen A. 30. Spenazzatto L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Perkaus H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Ukkonen P. ↓, Oruetxebarria N. ↑,
46', Juusela N. ↓, Spenazzatto L. ↑,
53', 0 - 1, Leiwo S. ⚽,
60', Ollipekka O. 🟨,
61', Paavilainen L. 🟨,
63', Veber V. ↓, Sarjanoja I. ↑,
71', 0 - 2, Rochi G. ⚽,
74', Takanen M. ↓, Torronen A. ↑,
77', Hahl N. ↓, Kouva S. ↑,
81', Pitko N. ↓, Nordberg O. ↑,
81', Antikainen N. ↓, Nurmi A. ↑,
82', Laaksonen S. 🟨,
89', Viinikka T. ↓, Pulkkanen A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Åland United won 2.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Åland United could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Åland United won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 32:48. (average 1.6:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Åland United won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 1.6:2.1).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Aland Utd W	24	16	1	7	60:30	30	49
4	KuPS W	24	14	3	7	48:30	18	45

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Åland United
Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
29.08.26	HJK - Åland United	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Gnistan - Åland United	2:3 ✺
16.08.26	Åland United - HPS	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Åland United - VIFK	6:1 ✺
18.07.26	KuPS - Åland United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWWWW
- KuPS Women
Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
29.08.26	KuPS - Gnistan	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	KuPS - Ilves	2:1 ✺
17.08.26	HJK - KuPS	0:1 ✺
08.08.26	HPS - KuPS	3:2 ✺
25.07.26	Gnistan - KuPS	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
18.07.26	KuPS - Åland United	1:3
Finnish Cup Women
01.07.26	Åland United - KuPS	1:2
Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
27.09.25	KuPS - Åland United	2:1
30.08.25	Åland United - KuPS	2:5
27.07.25	Åland United - KuPS	1:0
24.05.25	KuPS - Åland United	2:1
05.10.24	Åland United - KuPS	1:1

Åland United - KuPS