The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ñublense 61.2%
Draw 22.4%
Deportes Magallanes 16.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.8%
25.3%
18.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.3%
24.2%
18.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ñublense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ñublense's performance.
Deportes Magallanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
46.2%
23.1%
30.8%
Ñublense - Deportes Magallanes Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Ñublense will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Magallanes will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Ñublense: 16.1% – 74.9%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Magallanes (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Magallanes (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Perez N. (G) 16. Sanhueza D. 6. Calderon P. 4. Bosso Torres O. 14. Campusano J. 21. Reyes L. (C) 20. Mateos F. 22. Plaza M. 24. Caca 9. Sosa G. 23. Rodriguez M.
1. Martinic A. (G) 11. Valenzuela C. 6. Alucema G. 31. Gonzalez M. 16. Osorio M. 22. Morales Olivares M. G. 24. Berrios E. 33. Gonzalez V. 28. Barria A. 9. Cezar F. 30. Abarca Antil F. A.
Substitutes
18. Cerezo B. 27. Gonzalez R. 8. Graciani G. 2. Labrin C. 10. Rozas I. 13. Saavedra D. 11. Sanchez P. 30. Tapia D. (G) 5. Valencia E.
37. Cabello V. 32. Espinola M. 13. Ili C. 7. Lezcano G. 36. Lopez M. 20. Neira E. 19. Rodriguez A. 5. Rodriguez I. 34. Romero M.
Coaches
Fuentes R.
Basay I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Morales Olivares M. G. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Sosa G. (Pen),
45+1', Calderon P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Bosso Torres O. 🟨,
64', Caca ↓, Graciani G. ↑,
65', Valenzuela C. ↓, Neira E. ↑,
65', Abarca Antil F. A. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
70', 2 - 0, Sosa G. ⚽, Rodriguez M. (A),
74', Calderon P. ↓, Labrin C. ↑,
77', Cezar F. ↓, Lezcano G. ↑,
77', Morales Olivares M. G. ↓, Espinola M. ↑,
83', Plaza M. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
83', Sosa G. ↓, Sanchez P. ↑,
83', Mateos F. ↓, Saavedra D. ↑,
87', Gonzalez M. ↓, Romero M. ↑,
Preview
1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, Ñublense is the team to beat.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:17. (average 1.4:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Ñublense won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:10. (average 2.1:1.4).