Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 15

Date: 7 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Regional de Antofagasta (Antofagasta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports


	Deportes Antofagasta		Deportes Magallanes

	1	X	2
	1.70	3.70	3.80
	1.75	3.60	3.80
	1.71	3.92	4.30
	1.75	3.77	4.31	Watch
	1.70	3.60	4.00
	1.75	3.94	4.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.85)	3.76 ↑ (3.62)	4.05 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Antofagasta
53%

Draw
24.4%

Deportes Magallanes
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

25.7%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

24.6%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Antofagasta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Deportes Magallanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Antofagasta than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Magallanes Predictions

Users Predictions: Deportes Antofagasta will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Hurtado Perez F. (C) 22. Suarez M. 6. Diaz C. 4. Tapia B. 13. Abuhadba Z. 8. Leyton S. 20. Cuadra A. 10. Rojas D. 14. Campillay K. 9. Monreal J. 17. Hurtado B.	1. Munoz J. (G) 19. Farfan R. 4. Vasquez M. (C) 6. James J. 30. Salinas Flores H. 28. Guzman G. 3. Walters A. 32. Coronel S. 7. Toledo A. 11. Fredes M. 9. Peraza F.
Substitutes
7. Bravo C. 24. Castro P. 25. Cisternas J. P. (G) 16. Gallegos Panozzo M. 15. Ibacache A. 21. Manzano F. 29. Vega M.	23. Alegre M. 35. Cabezas V. 10. Jorquera C. 17. Olguin M. (G) 16. Osorio M. 29. Sepulveda M. 24. Yanez F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Hurtado B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hurtado B. ↓, Gallegos Panozzo M. ↑,
46', Abuhadba Z. ↓, Ibacache A. ↑,
50', Salinas Flores H. 🟨,
51', Suarez M. 🟨,
61', Walters A. 🟨,
67', Guzman G. ↓, Osorio M. ↑,
68', Rojas D. ↓, Bravo C. ↑,
72', Salinas Flores H. ↓, Yanez F. ↑,
72', Peraza F. ↓, Alegre M. ↑,
76', Alegre M. 🟨,
86', Farfan R. ↓, Cabezas V. ↑,
86', Coronel S. ↓, Jorquera C. ↑,
90+4', James J. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Antofagasta is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Antofagasta won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Antofagasta won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 3.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Magallanes	26	12	7	7	42:38	4	43
5	Antofagasta	26	11	8	7	44:26	18	41

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Antofagasta
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
01.06.26	Curicó Unido - Deportes Antofagasta	1:0 ✺
24.05.26	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Santa Cruz	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Antofagasta	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Deportes Antofagasta - San Luis de Quillota	3:1 ✺
03.05.26	Cobreloa - Deportes Antofagasta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTTWL
- Deportes Magallanes
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
31.05.26	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Iquique	4:3 ✺
24.05.26	San Luis de Quillota - Deportes Magallanes	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Recoleta	3:2 ✺
08.05.26	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Magallanes	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Copiapó	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
26.10.25	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Antofagasta	1:0
15.06.25	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Magallanes	5:0
07.10.24	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Antofagasta	1:0
19.05.24	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Magallanes	2:1

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