Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 19

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas (Chillán)

Referee: Lara J. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Ñublense		Unión La Calera

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.25	4.33	Watch
	1.87	3.40	4.20
	1.88	3.3	4.1	Watch
	1.9	3.5	4.82
	1.78	3.53	4.59	Watch
	1.85	3.3	4.65
	1.88	3.37	4.72	Watch
	1.82	3.25	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.81)	3.36 ↑ (3.3)	4.45 ↑ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ñublense
50.9%

Draw
28%

Unión La Calera
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

27.7%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

26.8%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ñublense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Unión La Calera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Ñublense - Unión La Calera Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ñublense will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perez N. (G) 6. Calderon P. 4. Bosso Torres O. 15. Valencia S. 16. Sanhueza D. 21. Reyes L. (C) 10. Plaza M. 28. Rivera M. 14. Campusano J. 8. Graciani G. 11. Molina Canto L.	1. Avellaneda N. (G) 25. Diaz C. (C) 32. Ferreyra B. 15. Salomoni J. 6. Lavin V. 27. Gutierrez D. 10. Mendez K. 5. Moya C. 2. Andia Leon Y. W. 14. Villanueva C. 19. Campos M.
Substitutes
26. Calderon E. 5. Campos Mosqueira F. 18. Cespedes D. 12. Chandia C. (G) 20. Jeraldino I. 35. Mansilla C. 9. Rami F. 3. Salomon C. 19. Tapia I.	20. Cruz J. 12. Espinoza N. (G) 4. Gutierrez C. 17. Hiriart M. 8. Leiva Y. 7. Oyarzo Munoz B. 3. Palma N. 9. Pozzo F. 29. Soto J.
Coaches
Ribera J.	Cicotello M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Valencia S. ⚽, Plaza M. (A),
40', Gutierrez D. 🟨,
44', 2 - 0, Valencia S. ⚽, Rivera M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Villanueva C. ↓, Oyarzo Munoz B. ↑,
47', Ferreyra B. 🟨,
64', Ferreyra B. ↓, Pozzo F. ↑,
64', Moya C. ↓, Leiva Y. ↑,
65', Molina Canto L. ↓, Tapia I. ↑,
65', Graciani G. ↓, Calderon E. ↑,
77', 2 - 1, Diaz C. ⚽, Mendez K. (A),
78', Andia Leon Y. W. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,
80', Tapia I. ↓, Jeraldino I. ↑,
85', Gutierrez D. ↓, Gutierrez C. ↑,
87', Sanhueza D. ↓, Campos Mosqueira F. ↑,
87', Rivera M. ↓, Cespedes D. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 1.

Ñublense is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Unión La Calera has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Ñublense is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 2 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:28. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Ñublense won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.6:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Nublense	23	8	8	7	28:31	-3	32
16	Union La Calera	23	4	5	14	19:40	-21	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Ñublense
Chilean Primera Division
10.08.26	Audax Italiano - Ñublense	2:2 ✺
Chilean Cup
04.08.26	Ñublense - Rangers de Talca	1:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
26.07.26	Ñublense - Palestino	2:0 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
12.07.26	OHiggins - Ñublense	2:0 penalties ✺
09.07.26	Ñublense - OHiggins	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWWLW
- Unión La Calera
Chilean Primera Division
09.08.26	Unión La Calera - Colo-Colo	1:2 ✺
Chilean Cup
05.08.26	Santiago Wanderers - Unión La Calera	0:4 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
01.08.26	Cobresal - Unión La Calera	4:0 ✺
27.07.26	Unión La Calera - Everton de Viña	1:1 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
12.07.26	Coquimbo Unido - Unión La Calera	1:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
20.02.26	Unión La Calera - Ñublense	0:1
26.10.25	Unión La Calera - Ñublense	3:0
04.05.25	Ñublense - Unión La Calera	1:1
29.09.24	Ñublense - Unión La Calera	0:1
05.05.24	Unión La Calera - Ñublense	2:1
15.08.23	Ñublense - Unión La Calera	1:1
26.02.23	Unión La Calera - Ñublense	1:1

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