Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 9

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas (Chillán)

Referee: Sepulveda C. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TNT Sports Premium


	Ñublense		Universidad de Chile

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.65	Watch
	2.58	3.15	2.72	Watch
	2.67	3.26	2.81
	2.62	3.2	2.71	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.63
	2.59	3.18	2.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.54)	3.13 ↓ (3.27)	2.7 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ñublense
35.9%

Draw
29.6%

Universidad de Chile
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

28.5%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

28.4%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ñublense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Universidad de Chile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	57.1%	28.6%

Ñublense - Universidad de Chile Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ñublense will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perez N. (G) 5. Campos Mosqueira F. 4. Bosso Torres O. 15. Valencia S. 8. Graciani G. 21. Reyes L. (C) 28. Rivera M. 14. Campusano J. 20. Jeraldino I. 10. Plaza M. 29. Avalos G.	25. Castellon G. (G) 17. Hormazabal F. 22. Zaldivia M. 5. Ramirez N. 14. Morales M. 8. Poblete Zuniga I. E. 29. Barrera L. 7. Guerrero Pena M. G. 19. Altamirano J. 10. Assadi L. 11. Eduardo Vargas (C)
Substitutes
6. Calderon P. 18. Cespedes D. 11. Molina Canto L. 25. Munoz H. (G) 7. Ovelar F. 9. Rami F. 16. Sanhueza D. 19. Tapia I. 22. Valdes A.	28. Arce A. 2. Calderon F. 21. Diaz M. 18. Lucero J. 34. Ramirez V. 24. Romero L. 15. Salomoni F. 1. Toselli C. (G) 23. Vasquez Gonzalez I. A.
Coaches
Ribera J.	Gago F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Graciani G. 🟨,
45+2', Poblete Zuniga I. E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Graciani G. ↓, Sanhueza D. ↑,
50', Altamirano J. 🟨,
57', Jeraldino I. ↓, Rami F. ↑,
65', Assadi L. ↓, Vasquez Gonzalez I. A. ↑,
65', Poblete Zuniga I. E. ↓, Arce A. ↑,
67', Avalos G. ↓, Tapia I. ↑,
68', Rami F. 🟨,
73', Guerrero Pena M. G. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
73', Eduardo Vargas ↓, Lucero J. ↑,
79', Campusano J. 🟨,
84', Plaza M. ↓, Ovelar F. ↑,
84', Rivera M. ↓, Cespedes D. ↑,
87', Tapia I. 🟨,
88', Morales M. ↓, Salomoni F. ↑,
90', Zaldivia M. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 0, Cespedes D. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 0.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Universidad de Chile may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 15:38. (average 0.8:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ñublense won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 1.2:2.1).

Outrights of Chilean Primera Division for now

U. De Chile: 9.15%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	U. De Chile	23	12	6	5	35:19	16	42
8	Nublense	23	8	8	7	28:31	-3	32

Last Results with these Odds

Ñublense - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.75%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Ñublense
Chilean Primera Division
04.04.26	Everton de Viña - Ñublense	0:0 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
30.03.26	Universidad de Concepción - Ñublense	0:2 ✺
25.03.26	Ñublense - Universidad Católica	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Cobresal - Ñublense	1:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
15.03.26	Ñublense - Deportes La Serena	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWWTT
- Universidad de Chile
Chilean Primera Division
05.04.26	Universidad de Chile - Deportes La Serena	4:0 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
31.03.26	Audax Italiano - Universidad de Chile	1:3 ✺
24.03.26	Universidad de Chile - Unión La Calera	0:1 ✺
20.03.26	Universidad de Chile - Deportes La Serena	2:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
14.03.26	Coquimbo Unido - Universidad de Chile	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
20.07.25	Ñublense - Universidad de Chile	2:2
15.02.25	Universidad de Chile - Ñublense	5:0
Chilean Cup
20.11.24	Universidad de Chile - Ñublense	1:0
Chilean Primera Division
03.11.24	Ñublense - Universidad de Chile	1:4
26.05.24	Universidad de Chile - Ñublense	0:0
09.12.23	Universidad de Chile - Ñublense	3:1
20.05.23	Ñublense - Universidad de Chile	1:1

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