Match Info

1. Lig - Round 21

Date: 19 January 2026, Monday

Location: Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Referee: Altay C. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	İstanbulspor		Keçiörengücü

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.3	2.38	Watch
	2.58	3.39	2.44
	2.61	3.67	2.41	Watch
	2.63	3.3	2.45
	2.56	3.32	2.39	Watch
	2.57	3.4	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.36)	3.4 ↓ (3.46)	2.42 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

İstanbulspor
35.4%

Draw
26.9%

Keçiörengücü
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

26.9%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

28.4%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İstanbulspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Keçiörengücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbulspor than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for İstanbulspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Keçiörengücü, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	50%	21.4%

İstanbulspor - Keçiörengücü Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. İstanbulspor will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Keçiörengücü will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - İstanbulspor (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - İstanbulspor (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. İstanbulspor (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Tutar A. (G) 21. Duhaney D. 14. Sahin D. 24. Uzunhan E. 44. Ozer Y. 6. Vorobjovas M. 8. Temel V. 7. Sambissa D. 10. Loshaj F. 66. Mamadou M. 9. Gultekin E. (C)	18. Satilmis E. (G) 10. Bulut H. 5. Caliskan O. 15. Wellington Nascimento 11. Dere A. 36. Karaogul I. 14. Akdag I. 7. Roshi O. 78. Fernandes J. 21. Ezeh F. 55. Diouf M.
Substitutes
2. Bahadir Y. 30. Cham A. 83. Dayakli I. 1. Dogan I. (G) 52. Duymaz O. F. 40. Erdal I. A. 77. Krstovski M. 20. Sahan O. 99. Sol M. 4. Tultak F.	9. Akman A. 22. Ayan H. 17. Bilgic H. 4. Celik A. 6. Develi E. 70. Diaby O. 79. Duman A. 73. Lus S. 23. Mexer 88. Ozer A. (G)
Coaches
Kanbak B.	Kosukavak Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', Akdag I. 🟨,
25', Ozer Y. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Sambissa D. ⚽, Duhaney D. (A),
34', 1 - 1, Karaogul I. ⚽, Dere A. (A),
45+2', 1 - 2, Wellington Nascimento ⚽, Karaogul I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 2 - 2, Gultekin E. ⚽, Sambissa D. (A),
61', Temel V. ↓, Duymaz O. F. ↑,
64', Bulut H. 🟨,
71', Sahin D. 🟨,
72', Diouf M. 🟨,
76', Akdag I. ↓, Develi E. ↑,
76', Fernandes J. ↓, Akman A. ↑,
79', Gultekin E. ↓, Krstovski M. ↑,
79', Sambissa D. ↓, Bahadir Y. ↑,
90+3', Mamadou M. ↓, Cham A. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, İstanbulspor won 0.

İstanbulspor has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Keçiörengücü is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in İstanbulspor: Aksu D. (Knee Injury) Ay F. K. (Red Card) Aydin D. (Knee Injury) Ologo Inainfe M. (Broken Leg) Vardar B. (Illness) Yilmaz A. S. (Suspended)

There will not play in Keçiörengücü: Keskin B. (Suspended) Tasbakir R. (Inactive)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, İstanbulspor won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, İstanbulspor won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Keciorengucu	8	3	4	1	17:10	7	13
18	Istanbulspor AS	8	1	2	5	7:19	-12	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İstanbulspor AŞ
Turkish Cup
14.01.26	İstanbulspor - Trabzonspor	1:6 ✺
Turkish First League
10.01.26	Serik Belediyespor - İstanbulspor	0:3 ✺
29.12.25	Adana Demirspor - İstanbulspor	1:5 ✺
21.12.25	İstanbulspor - Vanspor	1:3 ✺
Turkish Cup
17.12.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - İstanbulspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWLT
- Keçiörengücü
Turkish Cup
15.01.26	Beşiktaş - Keçiörengücü	3:0 ✺
Turkish First League
11.01.26	Keçiörengücü - Hatayspor	5:0 ✺
28.12.25	Keçiörengücü - Umraniyespor	3:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
24.12.25	Keçiörengücü - Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	3:1 ✺
Turkish First League
20.12.25	Manisa FK - Keçiörengücü	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
16.08.25	Keçiörengücü - İstanbulspor	0:0
12.04.25	İstanbulspor - Keçiörengücü	0:2
08.12.24	Keçiörengücü - İstanbulspor	2:1
18.03.22	İstanbulspor - Keçiörengücü	1:1
23.10.21	Keçiörengücü - İstanbulspor	3:2
05.03.21	İstanbulspor - Keçiörengücü	0:0
01.11.20	Keçiörengücü - İstanbulspor	1:1

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