Match Info

1. Lig - Round 20

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Aktepe Stadium (Ankara)

Referee: Albayrak A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii Spor 6, Tabii


	Keçiörengücü		Hatayspor

	1	X	2
	1.04	15	41	Watch
	1.04	9	36
	1.06	10.89	28.83	Watch
	1.06	12	41
	1.01	10.7	34	Watch
	1.05	10	26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.04 ↓ (1.16)	11.27 ↑ (6.75)	34.47 ↑ (18)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keçiörengücü
89.1%

Draw
8.2%

Hatayspor
2.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

81%

13.9%

5.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keçiörengücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Keçiörengücü's performance.

Hatayspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Keçiörengücü - Hatayspor Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Keçiörengücü (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH -1 - Keçiörengücü (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Keçiörengücü (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Satilmis E. (G) 10. Bulut H. 5. Caliskan O. 15. Wellington Nascimento 11. Dere A. 36. Karaogul I. 14. Akdag I. 7. Roshi O. 22. Ayan H. 21. Ezeh F. 55. Diouf M.	34. Saricali D. (G) 13. Aksoy E. 15. Yilmaz B. 95. Buz Y. A. 31. Matur O. 98. Aydin S. M. 20. Yildiz A. 33. Aydemir E. 30. Guler E. 18. Durmushan U. 9. Aksoy D.
Substitutes
17. Bilgic H. 4. Celik A. 6. Develi E. 79. Duman A. 78. Fernandes J. 73. Lus S. 23. Mexer 19. Osman H. 88. Ozer A. (G) 77. Ozler T.	66. Abdulkadir A. 19. Aksu C. B. 78. Daduk E. (G) 97. Sen M. 77. Uzel B.
Coaches
Kosukavak Y.	Alas G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', Bulut H. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Diouf M. ⚽, Roshi O. (A),
45+1', 2 - 0, Diouf M. ⚽, Akdag I. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
63', 3 - 0, Ezeh F. ⚽, Diouf M. (A),
66', Aydemir E. ↓, Sen M. ↑,
66', Yildiz A. ↓, Aksu C. B. ↑,
67', Roshi O. ↓, Ozler T. ↑,
67', Karaogul I. ↓, Develi E. ↑,
67', Guler E. ↓, Uzel B. ↑,
72', 4 - 0, Diouf M. ⚽, Dere A. (A),
75', Bulut H. ↓, Bilgic H. ↑,
76', Ezeh F. ↓, Lus S. ↑,
83', Akdag I. ↓, Duman A. ↑,
83', Aydin S. M. ↓, Abdulkadir A. ↑,
88', 5 - 0, Diouf M. ⚽, Develi E. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Keçiörengücü is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hatayspor is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Hatayspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Keçiörengücü is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Keçiörengücü: Keskin B. (Suspended) Tasbakir R. (Inactive)

There will not play in Hatayspor: Sarka B. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Hatayspor: Saglam G. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Keçiörengücü won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Keçiörengücü won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Keciorengucu	8	3	4	1	17:10	7	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keçiörengücü
Turkish First League
28.12.25	Keçiörengücü - Umraniyespor	3:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
24.12.25	Keçiörengücü - Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	3:1 ✺
Turkish First League
20.12.25	Manisa FK - Keçiörengücü	2:2 ✺
14.12.25	Keçiörengücü - Erokspor	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Serik Belediyespor - Keçiörengücü	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWTTW
- Hatayspor
Turkish First League
27.12.25	Vanspor - Hatayspor	4:0 ✺
21.12.25	Hatayspor - Serik Belediyespor	1:1 ✺
15.12.25	Sakaryaspor - Hatayspor	3:0 ✺
08.12.25	Hatayspor - Sarıyer	0:3 ✺
01.12.25	Adana Demirspor - Hatayspor	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
09.08.25	Hatayspor - Keçiörengücü	1:3
05.07.20	Hatayspor - Keçiörengücü	1:0
15.12.19	Keçiörengücü - Hatayspor	0:1
Turkish Second League Red Group
28.01.18	Hatayspor - Keçiörengücü	0:1
10.09.17	Keçiörengücü - Hatayspor	4:1

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