Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 14

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Lomzy (Lomza)


	ŁKS Łomża		Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.8	4.05
	1.70	3.88	4.04	Watch
	1.66	3.84	4.26	Watch
	1.7	3.66	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.69)	3.8 ↓ (3.85)	4.09 ↓ (4.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ŁKS Łomża
54%

Draw
23.9%

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

23.8%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

23.2%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ŁKS Łomża has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ŁKS Łomża than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ŁKS Łomża - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ŁKS Łomża won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

ŁKS Łomża may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, ŁKS Łomża has had a series of home games.

In this match, ŁKS Łomża is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, ŁKS Łomża won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, ŁKS Łomża won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ŁKS Łomża
Polish Division 3 - Group I
18.10.25	ŁKS Łomża - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	ŁKS Łomża - Wikielec	4:1 ✺
27.09.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łomża	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.25	ŁKS Łomża - Odra Opole	0:2 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group I
20.09.25	ŁKS Łomża - Wigry Suwałki	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWTLT
- Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
18.10.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Znicz Biała Piska	4:0 ✺
11.10.25	Wikielec - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Broń Radom	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	5:1 ✺
20.09.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
01.03.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łomża	1:3
10.08.24	ŁKS Łomża - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:1
31.05.24	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łomża	4:3
11.11.23	ŁKS Łomża - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:3
31.03.19	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łomża	1:0
18.08.18	ŁKS Łomża - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	3:0
23.05.18	ŁKS Łomża - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:1

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