Match Info

POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 15

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Tarczynski Arena (Wrocław)

Referee: Kos D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3, Moja TV
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport, Ekstraklasa TV
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV
World	Onefootball


	Śląsk Wrocław		Górnik Zabrze

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.2	2.75	Watch
	2.4	3.25	2.8
	2.55	3.2	2.75	Watch
	2.62	3.26	2.86
	2.59	3.27	2.79	Watch
	2.38	3.2	2.75
	2.53	3.2	2.77	Watch
	2.55	3.2	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.29)	3.22 ↑ (3.15)	2.78 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Śląsk Wrocław
37.1%

Draw
29.1%

Górnik Zabrze
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

29.5%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

29.1%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Śląsk Wrocław has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	38.5%	15.4%

Śląsk Wrocław - Górnik Zabrze Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Śląsk will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Śląsk: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Leszczynski R. (G) 33. Matsenko Y. 87. Petrov S. 5. Petkov A. 78. Guercio T. 2. Paluszek A. 7. Samiec-Talar P. 17. Schwarz P. 16. Pokorny P. (C) 23. Jasper S. 10. Swierczok J.	25. Szromnik M. (G) 15. Wojtuszek N. 5. Szczesniak K. 26. Janicki R. 64. Janza E. (C) 18. Ambros L. 8. Hellebrand P. 6. Rasak D. 11. Ismaheel T. 44. Buksa A. 7. Zahovic L.
Substitutes
21. Baluta T. 99. Basse A. 4. Bejger L. 26. Ince B. 1. Loska T. (G) 11. Musiolik S. 3. Szota S. 20. Wolczek A. 22. Zukowski M.	9. Bakis S. 88. Furukawa Y. 20. Josema 1. Majchrowicz F. (G) 16. Olkowski P. 10. Podolski L. 21. Sarapata D. 14. Tobolik A. 30. Zielonka N.
Coaches
Magiera J.	Urban J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', Petkov A. 🟨,
16', Hellebrand P. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Buksa A. ⚽, Janza E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Guercio T. ↓, Zukowski M. ↑,
52', Schwarz P. 🟨,
58', Jasper S. ↓, Musiolik S. ↑,
69', Ismaheel T. ↓, Furukawa Y. ↑,
76', Ambros L. ↓, Zielonka N. ↑,
79', Samiec-Talar P. ↓, Ince B. ↑,
83', Zahovic L. ↓, Bakis S. ↑,
84', Buksa A. ↓, Olkowski P. ↑,
88', Petkov A. ↓, Basse A. ↑,
89', Paluszek A. 🟨,
90+3', Szromnik M. 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Śląsk won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Śląsk could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Śląsk: Cebula M. (Injury) Glogowski B. (Injury) Poprawa K. (Injury)

There will not play in Górnik Zabrze: Lukoszek K. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Śląsk: Baluta T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Górnik Zabrze: Sanchez M. (Injury) Szala D. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Śląsk won 2 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 23:31 (average 1.2:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Śląsk won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:12 (average 1.3:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Śląsk Wrocław
Polish Ekstraklasa
04.11.24	Zagłębie Lubin - Śląsk Wrocław	3:0 ✺
Polish Cup
29.10.24	Radomiak Radom - Śląsk Wrocław	0:3 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
26.10.24	Śląsk Wrocław - Raków Częstochowa	0:0 ✺
23.10.24	Śląsk Wrocław - Stal Mielec	2:1 ✺
20.10.24	GKS Katowice - Śląsk Wrocław	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWTWT
- Górnik Zabrze
Polish Ekstraklasa
03.11.24	Górnik Zabrze - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:2 ✺
27.10.24	Widzew Łódź - Górnik Zabrze	0:2 ✺
20.10.24	Górnik Zabrze - Stal Mielec	3:1 ✺
05.10.24	Górnik Zabrze - Zagłębie Lubin	0:1 ✺
28.09.24	Legia Warsaw - Górnik Zabrze	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
14.04.24	Górnik Zabrze - Śląsk Wrocław	2:0
08.10.23	Śląsk Wrocław - Górnik Zabrze	1:1
23.04.23	Górnik Zabrze - Śląsk Wrocław	2:0
08.10.22	Śląsk Wrocław - Górnik Zabrze	4:1
21.05.22	Śląsk Wrocław - Górnik Zabrze	3:4
03.12.21	Górnik Zabrze - Śląsk Wrocław	3:1
16.04.21	Górnik Zabrze - Śląsk Wrocław	1:1

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