Match Info

POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 6

Date: 25 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Tarczynski Arena (Wrocław)

Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 6
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV
World	Onefootball app


	Śląsk Wrocław		Legia Warsaw

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.4	Watch
	2.95	3.2	2.37
	3	3.1	2.4	Watch
	3.14	3.2	2.48
	3.08	3.18	2.43	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.25
	3.06	3.28	2.31	Watch
	3	3.1	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↓ (3.25)	3.18 ↓ (3.31)	2.38 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Śląsk Wrocław
31.1%

Draw
29.5%

Legia Warsaw
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

28.5%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

29.5%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Śląsk Wrocław has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.3%	21.1%	52.6%

Śląsk Wrocław - Legia Warsaw Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Śląsk will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Legia will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 30.1% – 75.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Leszczynski R. (G) 22. Zukowski M. 2. Paluszek A. 5. Petkov A. 78. Guercio T. 16. Pokorny P. 19. Ortiz A. 17. Schwarz P. 77. Cebula M. 10. Nahuel M. 11. Musiolik S.	1. Tobiasz K. (G) 8. Augustyniak R. 55. Jedrzejczyk A. (C) 42. Sergio Barcia 5. Goncalves C. 13. Wszolek P. 67. Kapustka B. 25. Morishita R. 19. Vinagre R. 28. Gual M. 9. Kramer B.
Substitutes
21. Baluta T. 14. Bartolewski M. 9. Eyamba J. 6. Gerstenstein L. 26. Ince B. 87. Petrov S. 27. Rejczyk F. 44. Sliczniak H. (G) 3. Szota S.	17. Alfarela M. 11. Chodyna K. 27. Kobylak G. (G) 23. Kun P. 82. Luquinhas 12. Pankov R. 7. Pekhart T. 53. Urbanski W. 24. Ziolkowski J.
Coaches
Magiera J.	Feio G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Kramer B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Jedrzejczyk A. ↓, Pankov R. ↑,
46', Tobiasz K. ↓, Kobylak G. ↑,
53', 0 - 1, Kapustka B. ⚽, Wszolek P. (A),
62', Pokorny P. 🟨,
62', Vinagre R. ↓, Kun P. ↑,
62', Ortiz A. ↓, Baluta T. ↑,
63', Augustyniak R. 🟨,
66', 1 - 1, Guercio T. ⚽,
66', Gual M. ↓, Alfarela M. ↑,
75', Kun P. 🟨,
76', Morishita R. ↓, Luquinhas ↑,
80', Paluszek A. 🟨,
83', Musiolik S. ↓, Eyamba J. ↑,
83', Cebula M. ↓, Gerstenstein L. ↑,
88', Goncalves C. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Śląsk won 1.

Recent matches Śląsk is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Legia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Legia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Śląsk: Bejger L. (Injury) Glogowski B. (Injury) Matsenko Y. (Red Card) Poprawa K. (Injury)

There will not play in Legia: Mustafaev R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Śląsk: Bartolewski M. (Injury) Olsen P. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Śląsk won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 12-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Śląsk won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Śląsk Wrocław
Polish Ekstraklasa
18.08.24	Śląsk Wrocław - Korona Kielce	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.08.24	Śląsk Wrocław - St. Gallen	3:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
11.08.24	Widzew Łódź - Śląsk Wrocław	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.24	St. Gallen - Śląsk Wrocław	2:0 ✺
01.08.24	Śląsk Wrocław - Riga	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWTLW
- Legia Warsaw
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.08.24	Legia Warsaw - Drita Gjilan	2:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
18.08.24	Legia Warsaw - Radomiak Radom	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.08.24	Legia Warsaw - Brøndby	1:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
11.08.24	Puszcza Niepołomice - Legia Warsaw	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.08.24	Brøndby - Legia Warsaw	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
21.04.24	Legia Warsaw - Śląsk Wrocław	0:0
21.10.23	Śląsk Wrocław - Legia Warsaw	4:0
27.05.23	Legia Warsaw - Śląsk Wrocław	3:1
13.11.22	Śląsk Wrocław - Legia Warsaw	0:0
07.03.22	Legia Warsaw - Śląsk Wrocław	1:0
11.09.21	Śląsk Wrocław - Legia Warsaw	1:0
07.03.21	Śląsk Wrocław - Legia Warsaw	0:1

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