Match Info

Division 1 - Round 34

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Tarczynski Arena (Wrocław)

Referee: Kaliszewski F. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Śląsk Wrocław		Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.9	4.75
	1.58	4.35	4.65	Watch
	1.59	4.56	4.62
	1.56	4.48	4.81	Watch
	1.53	4	4.6
	1.5	4.4	4.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.42)	4.28 ↓ (4.72)	4.72 ↓ (5.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Śląsk Wrocław
59.1%

Draw
21.4%

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

19.5%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

18.7%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Śląsk Wrocław has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Śląsk Wrocław's form might have worsened.

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Śląsk Wrocław, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Śląsk Wrocław - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Śląsk will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Szromnik M. (G) 33. Matsenko Y. 44. Malec M. 4. Dijakovic M. 27. Rosiak M. 15. Yriarte J. 17. Schwarz P. (C) 14. Mokrzycki M. 16. Kurowski K. 11. Marjanac L. 91. Banaszak P.	1. Kieszek P. (G) 99. Noiszewski K. 6. Farbiszewski B. 17. Niewiadomski J. 30. Barnowski D. 21. Los K. (C) 77. Adkonis J. 27. Konstantyn J. 4. Korczakowski I. 7. Jedrasik J. 71. Szczepaniak M.
Substitutes
77. Ciucka A. 30. Glogowski B. (G) 8. Llinares M. 38. Markowski D. 36. Mazan P. 39. Rygiel S. 7. Samiec-Talar P. 24. Sharabura Y. 26. Wojtczak O.	23. Adamczyk H. 25. Glacel M. (G) 2. Glogowski K. 8. Gulczynski G. 10. Jaron D. 11. Kargulewicz K. 13. Lis J. 52. Olewinski O. 20. Wypart O.
Coaches
Simundza A.	Stokowiec P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Schwarz P. ↓, Samiec-Talar P. ↑,
40', Noiszewski K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kurowski K. ↓, Llinares M. ↑,
46', Adkonis J. ↓, Adamczyk H. ↑,
46', Konstantyn J. ↓, Olewinski O. ↑,
46', Jedrasik J. ↓, Lis J. ↑,
60', Mokrzycki M. ↓, Ciucka A. ↑,
60', Samiec-Talar P. ↓, Markowski D. ↑,
74', Szczepaniak M. ↓, Jaron D. ↑,
79', Korczakowski I. ↓, Glogowski K. ↑,
80', Marjanac L. ↓, Mazan P. ↑,
87', Rosiak M. 🟨,
90+2', Matsenko Y. 🟨,

Preview

Śląsk is Qualified for Ekstraklasa

Śląsk is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Grodzisk Mazowiecki has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Śląsk is the team to beat.

We predict that Śląsk will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Śląsk won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Śląsk Wrocław
Polish Division 1
17.05.26	Polonia Bytom - Śląsk Wrocław	1:3 ✺
11.05.26	Śląsk Wrocław - ŁKS Łódź	2:2 ✺
01.05.26	Górnik Łęczna - Śląsk Wrocław	0:4 ✺
25.04.26	Stal Mielec - Śląsk Wrocław	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Znicz Pruszków	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTWWT
- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 1
17.05.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - GKS Tychy	0:0 ✺
11.05.26	Odra Opole - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	3:1 ✺
07.05.26	ŁKS Łódź - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	3:2 ✺
02.05.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Wieczysta Kraków	1:4 ✺
27.04.26	Ruch Chorzów - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
21.11.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Śląsk Wrocław	2:2

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