Match Info

Division 1 - Round 19

Date: 8 December 2025, Monday

Location: Tarczynski Arena (Wrocław)

Referee: Piszczelok M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Śląsk Wrocław		Stal Rzeszów

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.9	4.2	Watch
				Watch
	1.62	4.25	4.45
	1.61	4.33	4.92
	1.59	4.46	4.73	Watch
	1.62	3.8	4.33
	1.68	4.06	4.37	Watch
	1.6	4.5	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.62)	4.19 ↓ (4.23)	4.5 ↑ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Śląsk Wrocław
57.2%

Draw
22.2%

Stal Rzeszów
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

21.9%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

23.1%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Śląsk Wrocław has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Stal Rzeszów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Rzeszów than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	9.1%	36.4%

Śląsk Wrocław - Stal Rzeszów Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Śląsk will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Stal Rzeszów will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Śląsk: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Śląsk (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Stal Rzeszów (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Śląsk (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Śląsk (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Stal Rzeszów (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Szromnik M. (G) 27. Rosiak M. 3. Szota S. (C) 44. Malec M. 8. Llinares M. 33. Matsenko Y. 15. Yriarte J. 47. Klimek A. 7. Samiec-Talar P. 11. Marjanac L. 91. Banaszak P.	1. Vanivskyi S. (G) 2. Warczak P. 39. Kaczor M. 3. Krasovskiy V. 77. Kukulka K. 17. Slawinski O. 7. Lysiak K. 31. Thill S. (C) 46. Lyczko S. 10. Jonathan Junior 18. Wachowiak K.
Substitutes
4. Dijakovic M. 30. Glogowski B. (G) 78. Guercio T. 6. Halimi B. 29. Jezierski J. 16. Kurowski K. 24. Sharabura Y. 81. Sokolowski P. 9. Warchol D.	91. Darwish S. 21. Kadziolka S. 88. Koziol M. (G) 20. Kucharski J. 9. Masiak K. 19. Musik M. 23. Postupalskyi I. 4. Synos M. 25. Wolski F.
Coaches
Simundza A.	Zub M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Thill S. ⚽, Warczak P. (A),
20', 1 - 1, Marjanac L. ⚽, Samiec-Talar P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Klimek A. ↓, Warchol D. ↑,
60', Lyczko S. ↓, Masiak K. ↑,
61', Wachowiak K. ↓, Wolski F. ↑,
61', Slawinski O. ↓, Kadziolka S. ↑,
72', Marjanac L. ↓, Sharabura Y. ↑,
72', Matsenko Y. ↓, Jezierski J. ↑,
79', Lysiak K. ↓, Kucharski J. ↑,
84', Jonathan Junior ↓, Darwish S. ↑,
85', Rosiak M. ↓, Guercio T. ↑,
85', Yriarte J. ↓, Sokolowski P. ↑,
89', Sharabura Y. 🟨,
90+1', Llinares M. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 8).

Śląsk is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Stal Rzeszów is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Śląsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Śląsk is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Śląsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Śląsk Wrocław
Polish Cup
03.12.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Raków Częstochowa	1:2 ✺
Polish Division 1
30.11.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Śląsk Wrocław	3:3 ✺
21.11.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Śląsk Wrocław	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Polonia Bytom	2:3 ✺
03.11.25	ŁKS Łódź - Śląsk Wrocław	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTTLL
- Stal Rzeszów
Polish Division 1
01.12.25	Stal Rzeszów - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Stal Rzeszów - GKS Tychy	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Stal Rzeszów	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Stal Rzeszów - Pogoń Siedlce	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Wisła Kraków - Stal Rzeszów	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
25.07.25	Stal Rzeszów - Śląsk Wrocław	2:1

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