The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Żabbar St. Patrick 17.7%
Draw 24.2%
Marsaxlokk 58.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
24.3%
26.8%
49%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.3%
26.8%
49%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Żabbar St. Patrick has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Żabbar St. Patrick's form might have worsened.
Marsaxlokk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marsaxlokk's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Żabbar St. Patrick than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Żabbar St. Patrick, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsaxlokk than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marsaxlokk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
0%
85.7%
Żabbar St. Patrick - Marsaxlokk Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Marsaxlokk (2.00) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Marsaxlokk will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Marsaxlokk will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Marsaxlokk (votes: 6 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Djalo M. (G) 9. Cejas P. 10. Gambarte B. (C) 15. Im Y. W. 21. Jovancic S. 22. Leonardi Z. 19. Majok A. 16. Micallef J. 71. Pisani J. 55. Scicluna K. 30. Scicluna R.
1. Calleja Cremona M. (G) 27. Aguirre L. 16. Arias U. 11. Corbalan J. C. 17. Dodo 19. Kirby J. 9. Linden R. 25. Minala J. 6. Muscat N. (C) 5. Pepe E. 3. Weder
Substitutes
11. Agius N. 1. Colombo I. (G) 77. Etim A. 24. Eviparker T. 8. Figueiredo B. 89. Fontanella M. 5. Forte M. 91. Grech J. (G) 20. Micallef L. 23. Polidano Z. 7. Soldo M.
14. Attard E. 15. Borg I. 23. Caruana T. 34. Christie-Davies I. 20. Karamitsios G. 56. Kikushima M. (G) 26. Maniscalco M. 28. Mihana R. 33. Simkus D. 12. Vella D. (G) 21. Vella J.
Coaches
Parisi A.
Potenza V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Dodo ⚽,
39', 0 - 2, Minala J. ⚽,
44', 1 - 2, Im Y. W. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Majok A. ↓, Agius N. ↑,
46', Im Y. W. ↓, Figueiredo B. ↑,
52', Kirby J. ↓, Simkus D. ↑,
65', Gambarte B. ↓, Micallef L. ↑,
74', Arias U. ↓, Caruana T. ↑,
79', Scicluna R. ↓, Eviparker T. ↑,
83', Linden R. ↓, Vella J. ↑,
84', Minala J. 🟨,
90+1', Micallef J. ↓, Etim A. ↑,
90+5', Figueiredo B. 🟨,
90+6', Etim A. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: )).
Żabbar is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Marsaxlokk is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Żabbar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Żabbar has had a series of away games.
Marsaxlokk could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Żabbar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).
Including home match between the teams, Żabbar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
Malta
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Djalo M. (G) 
Cejas P. 
Im Y. W. 
Jovancic S. 
Leonardi Z. 
Majok A. 
Dodo 
Kirby J. 
Linden R. 
Minala J. 
Weder 
Figueiredo B. 
Fontanella M. 
Forte M. 
Soldo M. 
Christie-Davies I. 
Kikushima M. (G) 
Mihana R. 
Simkus D. 
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