Match Info
Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 7Date: 18 April 2026, SaturdayLocation: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)
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Żurrieq |
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Mġarr United |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.45 |
3.4 |
2.45 |
 Watch |
 |
2.34 |
3.42 |
2.47 |
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2.39 |
3.56 |
2.54 |
Watch |
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2.4 |
3.1 |
2.5 |
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2.4 |
3.34 |
2.52 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↓
(2.42) |
3.36 ↑
(3.32) |
2.5 ↓
(2.5) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Żurrieq
37.4% | Draw
26.7% | Mġarr United
35.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Żurrieq has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Mġarr United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Żurrieq than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mġarr United than the current prediction. (-0.9%)Żurrieq - Mġarr United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Cristhyan Noto ⚽,
- 19', 1 - 1, Aquilina G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 52', 2 - 1, Aquilina G. ⚽,
- 59', 3 - 1, Grech S. ⚽,
- 68', 3 - 2, Cristhyan Noto ⚽,
- 74', 4 - 2, Grech S. ⚽,
Preview
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Żurrieq may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Żurrieq won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).Including home matches between the teams, Żurrieq won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 10 | Mgarr | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
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| 14 | Zurrieq | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Maltese Challenge League | | | 01.02.26 | Żurrieq - Mġarr United | 1:1 | | 05.04.25 | Mġarr United - Żurrieq | 0:2 | | 09.02.25 | Żurrieq - Mġarr United | 1:1 |
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