Match Info
Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 5Date: 1 April 2026, WednesdayLocation: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)
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Żurrieq |
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Marsa |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.58 |
3.7 |
2.22 |
 Watch |
 |
2.65 |
3.41 |
2.3 |
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 |
2.53 |
4.46 |
2.11 |
Watch |
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2.5 |
3.5 |
2.2 |
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2.53 |
3.9 |
2.17 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.56 ↑
(2.19) |
3.79 ↓
(4.01) |
2.2 ↓
(2.58) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Żurrieq
35.2% | Draw
23.8% | Marsa
41% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Żurrieq has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Żurrieq's form might have worsened.Marsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marsa's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Żurrieq than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Żurrieq, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marsa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Żurrieq - Marsa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 34', 1 - 0, Londe L. ⚽,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Demanuele N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 90+5', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Żurrieq won 2.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Recently, Marsa has had a series of home games. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Żurrieq won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.6:1).Including home matches between the teams, Żurrieq won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 14 | Zurrieq | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Maltese Challenge League | | | 13.09.25 | Marsa - Żurrieq | 1:3 | | 09.03.25 | Marsa - Żurrieq | 0:2 | | 01.12.24 | Marsa - Żurrieq | 1:0 | | 26.04.24 | Marsa - Żurrieq | 0:0 | | 09.03.24 | Żurrieq - Marsa | 1:3 | | 07.01.24 | Marsa - Żurrieq | 1:2 | | 12.11.22 | Żurrieq - Marsa | 3:1 |
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