Match Info

3. Liga - Round 20

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Grünwalder Stadion (Munich)

Referee: Weller F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 8
Germany	Magenta Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
World	Onefootball


	1860 München		Rot-Weiß Essen

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.4	2.25	Watch
	2.72	3.5	2.32	Watch
	2.76	3.62	2.32	Watch
	2.75	3.25	2.25
	2.75	3.56	2.36	Watch
	2.8	3.5	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.57)	3.47 ↓ (3.52)	2.3 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

1860 München
33.6%

Draw
26.4%

Rot-Weiß Essen
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

26.4%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

26.8%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

1860 München has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Rot-Weiß Essen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 1860 München than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rot-Weiß Essen than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

1860 München - Rot Weiß Essen Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. 1860 München will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Rot-Weiß Essen will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for 1860 München: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. 1860 München (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
11. Vollath R. (G) 37. Schifferl R. 16. Reinthaler M. 3. Voet S. 41. Lippmann C. 26. Maier P. 23. Dordan D. 18. Jakob K. 31. Volland K. 8. Philipp D. 34. Hobsch P. (C)	1. Golz J. (G) 23. Rios Alonso J. 4. Schultz M. (C) 33. Kraulich T. 2. Kostka M. 39. Swajkowski G. 26. Musel T. 14. Brumme L. 7. Safi R. 24. Mizuta K. 22. Schmidt D.
Substitutes
40. Bachmann P. (G) 2. Danhof T. 33. Fassmann L. 43. Fuchs F. . Husic L. 42. Klose N. 29. Rittmuller M. 9. Steinkotter J. 30. Wolfram M.	6. Arslan A. 19. Bouebari F. 15. Huning B. 20. Janssen M. 18. Kaiser N. 29. Mause J. 10. Obuz M. 30. Owusu K. 35. Wienand F. (G)
Coaches
Kauczinski M.	Koschinat U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Schifferl R. 🟨,
45', Schultz M. 🟨,
45+2', Hobsch P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', Schmidt D. ↓, Obuz M. ↑,
69', Kostka M. 🟨,
74', Philipp D. ↓, Danhof T. ↑,
75', Brumme L. 🟨,
81', Safi R. ↓, Janssen M. ↑,
81', Rios Alonso J. ↓, Bouebari F. ↑,
82', 0 - 1, Obuz M. ⚽,
84', Dordan D. ↓, Steinkotter J. ↑,
90', Swajkowski G. ↓, Huning B. ↑,
90', Musel T. ↓, Kaiser N. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Reinthaler M. ⚽, Schifferl R. (A),
90+1', Huning B. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, 1860 München won 3.

1860 München is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rot-Weiß Essen has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, 1860 München won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, 1860 München won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	RW Essen	8	4	3	1	16:12	4	15

Last Results with these Odds

1860 München - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 36.09%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Rot-Weiß Essen - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.55%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1860 München
German 3 Bundesliga
20.12.25	1860 München - Verl	0:2 ✺
13.12.25	Ingolstadt - 1860 München	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	1860 München - Schweinfurt	3:1 ✺
29.11.25	Ulm 1846 - 1860 München	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	1860 München - Saarbrücken	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWWWW
- Rot-Weiß Essen
German 3 Bundesliga
20.12.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Ulm 1846	3:2 ✺
13.12.25	Verl - Rot-Weiß Essen	0:0 ✺
05.12.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - VfB Stuttgart II	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Saarbrücken - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:3 ✺
23.11.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Energie Cottbus	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
01.08.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - 1860 München	1:1
03.05.25	1860 München - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:3
08.12.24	Rot-Weiß Essen - 1860 München	0:3
10.05.24	Rot-Weiß Essen - 1860 München	0:1
06.02.24	1860 München - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:0
14.05.23	Rot-Weiß Essen - 1860 München	2:2
14.11.22	1860 München - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:1

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