Match Info

Serie B - Round 17

Date: 8 July 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports


	22 de Julio		Guayaquil City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.35	3.4	1.58	Watch
	5.93	3.58	1.6
				Watch
	3.9	3.1	1.91
	5.69	3.44	1.58	Watch
	3.56	3.03	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.89 ↑ (3.75)	3.31 ↓ (3.35)	1.69 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

22 de Julio
18.6%

Draw
27.5%

Guayaquil City
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

26.8%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

26.2%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

22 de Julio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that 22 de Julio's form might have worsened.

Guayaquil City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 22 de Julio than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guayaquil City than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

22 de Julio - Guayaquil City Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Guayaquil City will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - 22 de Julio (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Guayaquil City (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Guayaquil City will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. 22 de Julio (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Guayaquil City (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
89', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: )).

22 de Julio has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Guayaquil City is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Guayaquil City is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, 22 de Julio won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 22 de Julio FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
02.07.25	Independiente Juniors - 22 de Julio	2:0 ✺
24.06.25	22 de Julio - San Antonio	0:1 ✺
18.06.25	Vargas Torres - 22 de Julio	2:1 ✺
10.06.25	22 de Julio - Cumbayá	1:0 ✺
04.06.25	Gualaceo - 22 de Julio	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LLLWT
- Guayaquil City FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
02.07.25	Guayaquil City - Chacaritas	6:0 ✺
26.06.25	Atlético Vinotinto - Guayaquil City	3:2 ✺
19.06.25	9 de Octubre - Guayaquil City	0:1 ✺
12.06.25	Guayaquil City - Independiente Juniors	1:0 ✺
05.06.25	San Antonio - Guayaquil City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
03.05.25	Guayaquil City - 22 de Julio	2:2

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