Match Info
Serie B - Relegation Group - Round 2Date: 3 September 2025, WednesdayLocation: Estadio Folke Anderson (Esmeraldas)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
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Vargas Torres |
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22 de Julio |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Vargas Torres
57.6% | Draw
26.5% | 22 de Julio
15.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vargas Torres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vargas Torres's performance.22 de Julio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vargas Torres than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for 22 de Julio than the current prediction. (+3.8%)Vargas Torres - 22 de Julio Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1.5 - Vargas Torres (2.51) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Users Predictions:
Vargas Torres will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vargas Torres will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Vargas Torres (votes: 9 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 44', 1 - 0, Cardenas S. ⚽,
- 45+1', 2 - 0, Narvaez J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 90+2', 3 - 0, ⚽,
- 90+3', 4 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
Recent form of Vargas Torres has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).22 de Julio is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).22 de Julio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Vargas Torres has had a series of away games.Recently, 22 de Julio has had a series of home games. In this match, Vargas Torres is seen as the favorite.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vargas Torres won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).Including home match between the teams, Vargas Torres won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ecuadorian Serie B | | | 18.06.25 | Vargas Torres - 22 de Julio | 2:1 | | 09.04.25 | 22 de Julio - Vargas Torres | 1:1 |
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