Match Info

Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: El Coloso (Rafaela)


	9 de Julio		General San Martín de Formosa

	1	X	2
	2.08	2.88	3.55
	2.10	2.96	3.85	Watch
	2.13	2.76	3.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.15)	2.87 ↑ (2.85)	3.7 ↓ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

9 de Julio
43.4%

Draw
31.9%

General San Martín de Formosa
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

32.6%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

31%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

9 de Julio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

General San Martín de Formosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 9 de Julio than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for General San Martín de Formosa than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

9 de Julio - General San Martín de Formosa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fragueda F. (G) 9. Abondetto R. 3. Acuna S. 6. Almada J. 2. Centurion F. 8. Del Sole N. 5. Ensabella G. 11. Ibanez M. 7. Macies T. 4. Martinez M. 10. Peralta B.	1. Humeler K. (G) 4. Alderete R. P. 3. Amud L. 5. Bobadilla M. 11. Chiquichano O. 2. Finardi B. 6. Leiva D. 10. Nunez G. 9. Siergiejuk M. 8. Tapia R. 7. Vicedo M.
Substitutes
14. Androetto T. 15. Aversa T. 20. Bonilla T. 16. Bustos J. 18. Garcia F. 12. Gomez J. (G) 13. Molinari A. 19. Ocampo L. 17. Zabala L.	19. Benitez A. 12. Cordero M. (G) 20. Denis M. E. 14. Griego A. 18. Haberkorn F. 15. Illanes Machuca F. 16. Peralta B. 13. Serrano R. 17. Vega A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Ibanez M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 🟨,
56', 1 - 1, Vicedo M. ⚽,
66', 🟨,
90', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, 9 de Julio won 2.

Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.

San Martín Formosa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

9 de Julio might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, 9 de Julio won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, 9 de Julio won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
Argentinian Torneo Federal
16.11.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - 9 de Julio	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	9 de Julio - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Deportivo Rincón - 9 de Julio	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	9 de Julio - Deportivo Rincón	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	9 de Julio - Germinal	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWTWW
- General San Martín de Formosa
Argentinian Torneo Federal
16.11.25	General San Martín de Formosa - Atenas Río Cuarto	3:1 ✺
08.11.25	Atenas Río Cuarto - General San Martín de Formosa	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	General San Martín de Formosa - Costa Brava	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Costa Brava - General San Martín de Formosa	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	General San Martín de Formosa - Sol de Mayo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
24.08.25	General San Martín de Formosa - 9 de Julio	2:0
04.08.24	9 de Julio - General San Martín de Formosa	0:0
17.09.23	9 de Julio - General San Martín de Formosa	2:1
23.07.23	General San Martín de Formosa - 9 de Julio	2:1
28.05.23	9 de Julio - General San Martín de Formosa	1:0
01.04.23	General San Martín de Formosa - 9 de Julio	2:0

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