Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 9

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Atlético Escobar		Sportivo Belgrano

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.65	2.45
	3.05	2.62	2.45
	3.15	2.59	2.46
	3.39	2.51	2.66	Watch
	3.1	2.5	2.5
	3.18	2.62	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.69)	2.58 ↓ (2.81)	2.5 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Escobar
28.8%

Draw
35%

Sportivo Belgrano
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

32%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

32%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Escobar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Sportivo Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Escobar than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Belgrano than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Atlético Escobar - Sportivo Belgrano Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sportivo Belgrano (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alvarez L. (G) 4. Barreto N. 3. Cupolo N. 7. Lara A. 11. Lezcano A. 9. Luna N. 5. Mercado L. L. V. 6. Paniagua H. 10. Portillo T. A. 8. Silva G. 2. Veron D.	1. Martina L. (G) 11. Bono J. 5. Caviglia J. 8. Churchi S. 4. Ferreyra L. (C) 3. Gancedo M. 7. Lehmann A. 9. Lesman G. 2. Paiz J. 6. Pennesi T. 10. Sagristani M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Lehmann A. ⚽,
35', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 🟨,
57', 🟨,
68', 🟨,
69', 0 - 2, Mercado E. ⚽,
73', 🟨,
87', 0 - 3, Paniagua H. (Own goal),
90', 1 - 3, Paniagua H. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 8 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Sportivo Belgrano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Escobar
Argentinian Torneo Federal
10.05.26	Douglas Haig - Atlético Escobar	4:1 ✺
03.05.26	Atlético Escobar - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	3:2 ✺
26.04.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Atlético Escobar	1:2 ✺
16.04.26	Atlético Escobar - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	9 de Julio - Atlético Escobar	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWLL
- Sportivo Belgrano
Argentinian Torneo Federal
10.05.26	Sportivo Belgrano - Sportivo Las Parejas	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Independiente Chivilcoy - Sportivo Belgrano	0:3 ✺
26.04.26	Sportivo Belgrano - El Linqueño	1:1 ✺
17.04.26	Sportivo Belgrano - Douglas Haig	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Sportivo Belgrano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWTLT

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