Match Info

Date: 30 April 2022, Saturday


	9 de Octubre		Delfín

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.4	3
	2.3	3	2.85
	2.4	3.2	2.7
	2.27	3.05	3
	2.37	3.39	3.05
	2.35	3.1	2.88
	2.4	3.32	2.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.73)	3.21 ↓ (3.28)	2.92 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

9 de Octubre
39.4%

Draw
28.9%

Delfín
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

28.5%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

28.7%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

9 de Octubre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in 9 de Octubre's performance.

Delfín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Delfín might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 9 de Octubre than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Delfín could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

9 de Octubre - Delfín Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. 9 de Octubre will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Delfín will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for 9 de Octubre: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 9).

9 de Octubre has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Delfín is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Delfín could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently 9 de Octubre have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches 9 de Octubre won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams 9 de Octubre won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 9 de Octubre FC
Copa Sudamericana
27.04.22	Guaireña - 9 de Octubre	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.04.22	Deportivo Cuenca - 9 de Octubre	1:1 ✺
17.04.22	Emelec - 9 de Octubre	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
14.04.22	Independiente Medellín - 9 de Octubre	2:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
09.04.22	9 de Octubre - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LTLLL
- Delfín SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.04.22	Delfín - Independiente del Valle	0:1 ✺
19.04.22	Técnico Universitario - Delfín	1:1 ✺
16.04.22	Delfín - Cumbayá	1:1 ✺
09.04.22	Mushuc Runa - Delfín	1:2 ✺
03.04.22	Delfín - Deportivo Cuenca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
17.03.22	9 de Octubre - Delfín	2:0
10.03.22	Delfín - 9 de Octubre	1:1
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
20.11.21	9 de Octubre - Delfín	1:0
29.05.21	Delfín - 9 de Octubre	2:2

9 de Octubre - Delfín: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide