Match Info

Date: 23 April 2022, Saturday


	Deportivo Cuenca		9 de Octubre

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	4.2	Watch
	1.98	3.1	3.4
	2.02	3.2	3.45
	2.02	3.15	3.45
	2.09	3.32	3.75
	2.05	3.1	3.4
	2.09	3.4	3.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.25)	3.2 ↑ (3.06)	3.59 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Cuenca
45.3%

Draw
29%

9 de Octubre
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

30.5%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

29.6%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Cuenca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

9 de Octubre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 9 de Octubre than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Deportivo Cuenca - 9 de Octubre Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Deportivo Cuenca will win (votes: 6 - 60%). 9 de Octubre will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Cuenca: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 16).

Recent matches Deportivo Cuenca is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

9 de Octubre is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Deportivo Cuenca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Deportivo Cuenca will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Deportivo Cuenca won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Cuenca won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
20.04.22	Independiente del Valle - Deportivo Cuenca	2:0 ✺
17.04.22	Deportivo Macará - Deportivo Cuenca	0:1 ✺
10.04.22	Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec	2:2 ✺
03.04.22	Delfín - Deportivo Cuenca	0:0 ✺
21.03.22	Deportivo Cuenca - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWTTL
- 9 de Octubre FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
17.04.22	Emelec - 9 de Octubre	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
14.04.22	Independiente Medellín - 9 de Octubre	2:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
09.04.22	9 de Octubre - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:4 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.04.22	9 de Octubre - Internacional RS	2:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
02.04.22	SD Aucas - 9 de Octubre	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
17.10.21	Deportivo Cuenca - 9 de Octubre	3:1
01.05.21	9 de Octubre - Deportivo Cuenca	2:1

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