Match Info

ECUADOR: Liga Pro - Second stage - Round 30

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Jocay (Manta)

Referee: Diaz A. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
World	Fanatiz


	Delfín		Cumbayá

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	3.6	Watch
	1.9	3.3	3.4
	1.99	3.4	3.55	Watch
	2.04	3.35	4.21
	1.93	3.32	4.07	Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.5
	1.87	3.59	3.89	Watch
	1.99	3.4	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (1.97)	3.41 ↑ (3.26)	3.72 ↑ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Delfín
47.7%

Draw
27.3%

Cumbayá
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

28.1%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

29%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Delfín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Cumbayá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Delfín - Cumbayá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Heras B. (G) 13. Cuero Mercado J. W. 2. Goitea N. 14. Gariglio I. 55. Reyes M. 10. Mino M. 71. Nazareno J. 16. Castro L. 18. Mejia M. 11. Messiniti N. 9. Angulo J.	1. Lemos A. (G) 2. Delgado F. 14. Suarez D. 37. Estacio G. 4. Paredes J. (C) 5. Altuna A. 22. Serpa T. 8. Valencia M. 54. Caicedo B. 27. Ortiz J. 32. Vides B.
Substitutes
28. Arteaga A. 29. Cuero Q. C. A. 8. Gaggi E. 36. Garcia A. 25. Humanante J. 56. Medina O. 20. Mieles M. 4. Nazareno J. 46. Ozaeta A. 45. Ozaeta T. 17. Sambonino K. 12. Valencia B. (G)	18. Almagro A. 66. Angulo D. 25. Caicedo Piyajo L. D. 33. Cardenas Salazar O. B. (G) 19. Diaz M. 16. Gustavino L. 15. Ontivero L. 7. Padilla J. 29. Rivera K.
Coaches
Carvajal Burgos J. E.	Chamorro Morales D. A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 2)
3', 1 - 0, Angulo J. ⚽, Mino M. (A),
13', 2 - 0, Gariglio I. ⚽, Castro L. (A),
21', 3 - 0, Mejia M. ⚽,
25', Suarez D. ↓, Gustavino L. ↑,
26', Valencia M. ↓, Caicedo Piyajo L. D. ↑,
26', Ortiz J. ↓, Almagro A. ↑,
30', 3 - 1, Vides B. (Pen),
38', 3 - 2, Almagro A. ⚽, Delgado F. (A),
45+1', 4 - 2, Angulo J. ⚽, Mino M. (A),
45+3', Nazareno J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
52', 5 - 2, Mejia M. ⚽,
54', Messiniti N. ↓, Cuero Q. C. A. ↑,
61', Caicedo B. ↓, Ontivero L. ↑,
61', Estacio G. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
62', Mino M. ↓, Mieles M. ↑,
62', Goitea N. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
66', 6 - 2, Angulo J. ⚽, Mieles M. (A),
72', 6 - 3, Vides B. (Pen),
86', Angulo J. ↓, Ozaeta T. ↑,
86', Mejia M. ↓, Ozaeta A. ↑,
90+2', Cuero Mercado J. W. 🟨,
90+2', 6 - 4, Vides B. (Pen),

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 15).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Delfín will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Delfín won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.4:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Delfín won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Delfín SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
24.11.24	SD Aucas - Delfín	2:0 ✺
08.11.24	Delfín - Mushuc Runa	4:2 ✺
01.11.24	Orense - Delfín	0:0 ✺
27.10.24	Barcelona Guayaquil - Delfín	4:0 ✺
20.10.24	Delfín - El Nacional	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWTLT
- Cumbayá FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.11.24	Cumbayá - Orense	2:2 ✺
10.11.24	Barcelona Guayaquil - Cumbayá	8:1 ✺
02.11.24	Cumbayá - Deportivo Cuenca	1:0 ✺
27.10.24	Deportivo Macará - Cumbayá	1:1 ✺
18.10.24	Cumbayá - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
01.06.24	Cumbayá - Delfín	1:0
29.10.23	Delfín - Cumbayá	4:0
21.05.23	Cumbayá - Delfín	0:1
27.08.22	Cumbayá - Delfín	2:1
16.04.22	Delfín - Cumbayá	1:1

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