Match Info

Date: 17 April 2022, Sunday


	Emelec		9 de Octubre

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	7	Watch
	1.41	4.1	6.5
	1.56	3.9	4.9
	1.4	4.3	6.4
	1.46	4.5	6.96
	1.65	3.6	4.6
	1.47	4.45	6.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.59)	4.19 ↑ (4.06)	6.12 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emelec
62.6%

Draw
22.2%

9 de Octubre
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

22.9%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

23%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

9 de Octubre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 9 de Octubre than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Emelec - 9 de Octubre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 and 16).

Recent matches Emelec is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

9 de Octubre is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

9 de Octubre could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Emelec is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Emelec won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Emelec won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emelec
Copa Libertadores
14.04.22	Emelec - Deportivo Táchira	1:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
10.04.22	Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec	2:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.04.22	Independiente Petroleros - Emelec	1:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
01.04.22	Emelec - LDU Quito	2:0 ✺
21.03.22	Emelec - Delfín	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTTWL
- 9 de Octubre FC
Copa Sudamericana
14.04.22	Independiente Medellín - 9 de Octubre	2:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
09.04.22	9 de Octubre - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:4 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.04.22	9 de Octubre - Internacional RS	2:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
02.04.22	SD Aucas - 9 de Octubre	1:1 ✺
20.03.22	9 de Octubre - Gualaceo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
21.08.21	9 de Octubre - Emelec	2:2
Ecuadorian Super Cup
19.06.21	Emelec - 9 de Octubre	0:2
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
21.03.21	Emelec - 9 de Octubre	0:1

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