Match Info

ECUADOR: SERIE B - ROUND 24

Date: 11 August 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Modelo Alberto Spencer (Guayaquil)


	9 de Octubre		Deportivo Macará

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.3
	2	3.2	3.3
	2.12	3	3.34
	2.05	3	3.5
	2.1	3.2	3.36	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (3.46)	3.13 ↓ (3.2)	3.35 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

9 de Octubre
44.1%

Draw
28.9%

Deportivo Macará
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

28.5%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

26.9%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

9 de Octubre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in 9 de Octubre's performance.

Deportivo Macará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Macará might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 9 de Octubre than the current prediction. (-16.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with 9 de Octubre that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Macará could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

9 de Octubre - Deportivo Macará Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. 9 de Octubre will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Macará will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches 9 de Octubre won 0.

9 de Octubre is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Macará is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches 9 de Octubre won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-13.

Including matches at home between the teams 9 de Octubre won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 9 de Octubre FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
01.08.23	Vinotinto - 9 de Octubre	4:0 ✺
26.07.23	9 de Octubre - Vargas Torres	3:0 ✺
19.07.23	9 de Octubre - Independiente Juniors	4:0 ✺
12.07.23	Chacaritas - 9 de Octubre	1:1 ✺
06.07.23	9 de Octubre - Manta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWWTW
- Deportivo Macará
Ecuadorian Serie B
02.08.23	Deportivo Macará - Vargas Torres	2:0 ✺
26.07.23	Independiente Juniors - Deportivo Macará	1:0 ✺
19.07.23	Deportivo Macará - Búhos ULVR	0:0 ✺
11.07.23	América de Quito - Deportivo Macará	1:1 ✺
05.07.23	Deportivo Macará - Imbabura	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
22.06.23	Deportivo Macará - 9 de Octubre	2:0
26.04.23	9 de Octubre - Deportivo Macará	1:3
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
08.10.22	Deportivo Macará - 9 de Octubre	3:1
14.05.22	9 de Octubre - Deportivo Macará	1:1
18.09.21	9 de Octubre - Deportivo Macará	1:1
10.04.21	Deportivo Macará - 9 de Octubre	3:2

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