Match Info

Date: 3 May 2022, Tuesday


	9 de Octubre		Independiente Medellín

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.2	2.3
	3.1	3.2	2.25
	3.15	3.15	2.25
	3.2	2.95	2.23
	3.27	3.19	2.35
	3.2	2.88	2.3	Watch
	3.13	3.13	2.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (2.62)	3.1 ↑ (3)	2.28 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

9 de Octubre
29.1%

Draw
30%

Independiente Medellín
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

29%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

28.8%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

9 de Octubre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 9 de Octubre than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	27.8%	50%

9 de Octubre - Independiente Medellín Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. 9 de Octubre will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Ind Medellín will win (votes: 9 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ind Medellín: 26.9% – 73.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

9 de Octubre has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Independiente Medellín is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Independiente Medellín could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently 9 de Octubre have a series of guest games.

Recently Independiente Medellín have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches 9 de Octubre won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 9 de Octubre FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
30.04.22	9 de Octubre - Delfín	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
27.04.22	Guaireña - 9 de Octubre	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.04.22	Deportivo Cuenca - 9 de Octubre	1:1 ✺
17.04.22	Emelec - 9 de Octubre	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
14.04.22	Independiente Medellín - 9 de Octubre	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLTLL
- Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A
30.04.22	Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
26.04.22	Independiente Medellín - Internacional RS	0:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
23.04.22	Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Medellín	2:3 ✺
Colombian Copa
20.04.22	Independiente Medellín - Tigres	1:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
17.04.22	Independiente Medellín - Unión Magdalena	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
14.04.22	Independiente Medellín - 9 de Octubre	2:1

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