Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 16

Date: 8 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Maria Lamas Farache (Natal)

Referee: Guimaraes Junior I. (Bra)


	ABC		Criciúma

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.8	2.87	2.55
	2.95	2.8	2.55
	3.03	2.93	2.77
	2.7	2.8	2.5
	2.86	3.08	2.61	Watch
	2.85	2.95	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.75)	2.91 ↓ (3.1)	2.59 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ABC
32.3%

Draw
31.9%

Criciúma
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

29.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

29.7%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ABC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ABC than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	30%	50%

ABC - Criciúma Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. ABC will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Criciúma will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Criciúma: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Simao (G) 14. Gedeilson 15. Afonso 33. Genilson 16. Romario 20. Ramon 88. Wallace 26. Fabio Costa 10. Thonny Anderson 7. Matheus Anjos 27. Junior Todinho	1. Gustavo (G) 27. Claudinho 3. Rodrigo (C) 33. Thiago Mina 22. Marcelo Hermes 42. Miqueias 5. Leo Costa 8. Arilson 11. Fabinho 9. Felipe Vizeu 100. Fellipe Mateus
Substitutes
9. Felipe Garcia 19. Goncalves G. D. 97. Habraao 30. Jean Martim 8. Jean Patrick 22. Lucas Tocantins 75. Maycon Douglas 17. Richardson 11. Wallyson 90. Wellington (G) 64. Welliton	25. Alisson (G) 18. Crystopher 6. Helder Santos 70. Italo Melo 21. Joao Carlos 13. Jonathan 4. Rayan 17. Romulo 99. Tiago Marques
Coaches
Aal A.	Tencati C.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Recent matches ABC is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Criciúma is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches ABC won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams ABC won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ABC FC
Brazilian Serie B
01.07.23	Avaí - ABC	0:2 ✺
28.06.23	ABC - Atlético Goianiense	1:1 ✺
25.06.23	Mirassol - ABC	3:2 ✺
09.06.23	ABC - Chapecoense	1:1 ✺
06.06.23	Ponte Preta - ABC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WTLTT
- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Serie B
01.07.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Criciúma	0:2 ✺
27.06.23	Criciúma - CRB Maceio	2:1 ✺
24.06.23	Chapecoense - Criciúma	1:1 ✺
11.06.23	Vitória Salvador - Criciúma	0:1 ✺
08.06.23	Criciúma - Juventude	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
10.11.17	ABC - Criciúma	3:1
22.07.17	Criciúma - ABC	2:1
25.08.15	ABC - Criciúma	2:2
15.05.15	Criciúma - ABC	0:2
16.10.12	Criciúma - ABC	2:0
17.07.12	ABC - Criciúma	N/A

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