Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 13

Date: 25 June 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia (Mirassol)

Referee: Ferreira J. (Bra)


	Mirassol		ABC

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.49	3.75	6.5
	1.42	4.1	7
	1.53	3.93	7.85
	1.5	3.7	7
	1.51	3.96	7	Watch
	1.5	3.85	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.49)	3.88 ↑ (3.79)	6.96 ↑ (6.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirassol
62.6%

Draw
24%

ABC
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

24.5%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

23.6%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

The chances for ABC have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ABC than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	9.1%	18.2%

Mirassol - ABC Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). ABC will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alex Muralha (C) 2. Lucas Ramon 3. Thalisson Kelven 4. Luiz Otavio 6. Guilherme Biro 5. Leandro Vilela 8. Danielzinho 7. Fernandinho 10. Chico Kim 11. Negueba 9. Kauan	1. Simao (G) 51. Alemao 15. Afonso 17. Richardson 11. Fabio Costa 14. Wellington Reis 28. Wallace 10. Thonny Anderson 31. Welliton 9. Felipe Garcia 8. Lucas Tocantins
Substitutes
14. Breno Roma 21. Bruno Cortez 20. Camilo 12. Cesar Augusto (G) 19. Cristian Renato 25. Darley (G) 15. Flavio Silva 22. Heitor 17. Juninho 16. Manoel 13. Renie 18. Vico	2. Gedeilson 4. Habraao 5. Jean Patrick 27. Junior Todinho 18. Luiz Gustavo 7. Matheus Anjos 75. Maycon Douglas 20. Ramon 90. Wellington (G)
Coaches
Mozart	Aal A.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Mirassol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mirassol is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Mirassol: Fernandinho (Injury)

There will not play in ABC: Alemao (Injury) Daniel Vancan (Injury) Gedeilson (Injury) Walfrido (Injury)

There are questionable in ABC: Lucas Tocantins (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mirassol won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Mirassol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie B
11.06.23	Londrina - Mirassol	1:2 ✺
07.06.23	CRB Maceio - Mirassol	2:0 ✺
03.06.23	Mirassol - Ponte Preta	1:0 ✺
28.05.23	Mirassol - Criciúma	1:0 ✺
23.05.23	Botafogo SP - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWWL
- ABC FC
Brazilian Serie B
09.06.23	ABC - Chapecoense	1:1 ✺
06.06.23	Ponte Preta - ABC	0:0 ✺
03.06.23	ABC - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:1 ✺
28.05.23	Sport Recife - ABC	4:1 ✺
23.05.23	ABC - Tombense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
08.10.22	Mirassol - ABC	2:0
01.10.22	ABC - Mirassol	0:0
12.06.22	ABC - Mirassol	1:0

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