Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 15

Date: 1 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Ressacada (Florianópolis)


	Avaí		ABC

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3	4.4
	1.93	3.2	3.85
	1.88	3.26	5.05
	1.85	2.8	4.2
	1.88	3.1	4.95	Watch
	1.92	3.05	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.01)	3.07 ↓ (3.11)	4.48 ↑ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avaí
49.1%

Draw
30.2%

ABC
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

29.8%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

26.5%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ABC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avaí that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ABC than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ABC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.2%	11.1%	16.7%

Avaí - ABC Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Avaí will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). ABC will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Avaí: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
53. Alexander (G) 98. Igor 4. Roberto Rosa 35. Felipe Silva 38. Felipinho 16. Jean Cleber (C) 8. Eduardo 23. Rafael Gava 13. Waguininho 78. Andrey 11. Patino S.	1. Simao (G) 16. Alemao 15. Afonso 17. Richardson 2. Gedeilson 10. Thonny Anderson 28. Wallace 27. Junior Todinho 20. Ramon 7. Matheus Anjos 96. Fabio Costa
Substitutes
19. Alan 7. Dentinho 99. Giva Santos 17. Gustavo Modesto 28. Gustavo Simoes 1. Igor Bohn (G) 2. Igor Dutra 44. Raphael Rodrigues 72. Thales Oleques 20. Vitinho 39. Xavier	4. Habraao 8. Jean Patrick 22. Lucas Tocantins 18. Luiz Gustavo 75. Maycon Douglas 11. Wallyson 90. Wellington (G) 14. Wellington Reis 31. Welliton
Coaches
Morinigo G.	Aal A.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Avaí is a favorite.

There will not play in Avaí: Didi (Injury) Guilherme Santos (Injury) Julio Cesar (Injury) Natanael (Red Card) Thiago Rosa (Injury)

There will not play in ABC: Daniel Vancan (Injury) Jhonnathan (Injury) Walfrido (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Avaí won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Avaí won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avaí
Brazilian Serie B
28.06.23	Ceará - Avaí	0:0 ✺
24.06.23	Avaí - Londrina	0:0 ✺
11.06.23	Avaí - Botafogo SP	1:1 ✺
07.06.23	Sport Recife - Avaí	2:1 ✺
03.06.23	Juventude - Avaí	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTTLL
- ABC FC
Brazilian Serie B
28.06.23	ABC - Atlético Goianiense	1:1 ✺
25.06.23	Mirassol - ABC	3:2 ✺
09.06.23	ABC - Chapecoense	1:1 ✺
06.06.23	Ponte Preta - ABC	0:0 ✺
03.06.23	ABC - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
07.10.14	ABC - Avaí	2:1
30.05.14	Avaí - ABC	0:1
23.11.13	ABC - Avaí	1:0
30.08.13	Avaí - ABC	2:0
06.11.12	ABC - Avaí	1:2
07.08.12	Avaí - ABC	N/A

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