Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 14

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio San Filippo (Messina)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 253


	ACR Messina		Giugliano

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.2	2.35
	2.75	3.3	2.4
	2.82	3.35	2.49
	2.83	3.24	2.48
	2.6	3.3	2.38
	2.66	3.24	2.35	Watch
	2.75	3.3	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.59)	3.28 ↑ (3.18)	2.41 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ACR Messina
33.8%

Draw
28%

Giugliano
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

28.5%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

28.6%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ACR Messina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Giugliano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giugliano than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ACR Messina - Giugliano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Krapikas T. (G) 7. Lia D. 15. Marino A. 6. Manetta M. 24. Ortisi P. 8. Frisenna G. 4. Garofalo V. 28. Pedicillo L. 11. Petrungaro L. 18. Luciani P. 17. Re A.	1. Russo D. (G) 2. Scaravilli A. 23. Minelli A. 24. Caldore M. 3. Oyewale S. 4. Acella C. 6. Celeghin E. 17. Giorgione C. 10. Ciuferri F. 14. Padula C. 32. Balde I.
Substitutes
9. Anatriello G. 31. Anzelmo D. 19. Cominetti M. 1. Curtosi F. (G) 22. Di Bella A. (G) 29. Di Palma M. 5. Mame Ass N. 27. Mameli B. 10. Mamona B. 20. Morleo U. 16. Petrucci D. 98. Rizzo F.	71. Barosi D. (G) 70. D'Agostino G. 9. De Paoli A. 8. De Rosa R. 99. Iardino E. (G) 83. Lleshi 11. Njambe M. 44. Peluso L. 15. Solcia D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Frisenna G. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Petrungaro L. (Pen),
43', Re A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Padula C. ↓, Njambe M. ↑,
58', Luciani P. ↓, Mamona B. ↑,
62', Oyewale S. 🟨,
63', Petrungaro L. 🟨,
66', Oyewale S. ↓, Valdesi A. ↑,
66', Acella C. ↓, De Rosa R. ↑,
71', Giorgione C. 🟨,
75', Petrungaro L. ↓, Cominetti M. ↑,
75', Garofalo V. ↓, Rizzo F. ↑,
76', Frisenna G. ↓, Petrucci D. ↑,
79', De Rosa R. 🟨,
79', 🟨,
81', Giorgione C. ↓, D'Agostino G. ↑,
84', Ortisi P. 🟨,
85', 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)).

ACR Messina is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Giugliano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches ACR Messina won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams ACR Messina won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ACR Messina
Italian Serie C Group C
03.11.24	Catania - ACR Messina	0:0 ✺
31.10.24	ACR Messina - Cavese	1:3 ✺
27.10.24	Avellino - ACR Messina	6:0 ✺
20.10.24	ACR Messina - Monopoli	0:0 ✺
11.10.24	Trapani - ACR Messina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TLLTT
- Giugliano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
03.11.24	Giugliano - Trapani	2:1 ✺
30.10.24	Picerno - Giugliano	1:3 ✺
27.10.24	Giugliano - Crotone	1:3 ✺
19.10.24	Turris - Giugliano	2:0 ✺
12.10.24	Giugliano - Juventus U23	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
18.02.24	Giugliano - ACR Messina	1:0
15.10.23	ACR Messina - Giugliano	1:0
01.02.23	Giugliano - ACR Messina	2:2
01.10.22	ACR Messina - Giugliano	1:0
Italian Serie D - Group I
22.12.19	Giugliano - ACR Messina	2:1

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