The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Benevento 65.6%
Draw 21.3%
ACR Messina 13.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.3%
24.7%
17%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.2%
22.9%
18.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benevento's performance.
ACR Messina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-11.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benevento that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ACR Messina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Benevento - ACR Messina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Nunziante A. (G) 96. Capellini R. 5. Veltri A. 31. Tosca A. 25. Viscardi A. 38. Talia A. 24. Viviani M. 17. Acampora G. 10. Lanini E. 9. Manconi J. 18. Simonetti P.
12. Krapikas T. (G) 14. Gyamfi B. 6. Gelli J. 44. Dumbravanu D. 20. Haveri K. 4. Garofalo V. 16. Petrucci D. 23. Crimi M. 30. Vicario J. 90. Costantino R. 11. Tordini M.
Substitutes
21. Agazzi D. 44. Avolio V. 28. Borello G. 35. Carfora L. 73. Lamesta D. 68. Lucatelli I. (G) 12. Manfredini N. (G) 27. Oukhadda S. 33. Perlingieri M. 14. Pinato M. 4. Prisco A. 3. Sena F. 7. Starita E.
31. Anzelmo D. 24. Chiarella M. 77. Dell'Aquila F. 9. De Sena C. 3. Ingrosso G. 7. Lia D. 18. Luciani P. 15. Marino A. 22. Meli G. (G) 40. Morichelli R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Costantino R. 🟨,
21', Acampora G. 🟨,
32', Viscardi A. 🟨,
36', Talia A. 🟨,
43', Simonetti P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Haveri K. ↓, Lia D. ↑,
64', Costantino R. ↓, De Sena C. ↑,
69', Acampora G. ↓, Lamesta D. ↑,
69', Lanini E. ↓, Starita E. ↑,
69', Vicario J. ↓, Luciani P. ↑,
69', Tordini M. ↓, Chiarella M. ↑,
79', Crimi M. ↓, Ingrosso G. ↑,
81', Viviani M. ↓, Borello G. ↑,
83', Meli G. 🟨,
87', Manconi J. ↓, Perlingieri M. ↑,
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals) and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Benevento won 2.
Benevento is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches ACR Messina is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Benevento is absolute favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Benevento won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:2 (average 1.3:0.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Benevento won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).
Italy
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Nunziante A. (G) 
Tosca A. 
Krapikas T. (G) 
Gyamfi B. 
Dumbravanu D. 
Haveri K. 
Vicario J. 
Oukhadda S. 
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